Bitcoin Surges Past $114K as Technical Indicators Signal Explosive Rally to $300K

Bitcoin is again on track above $114,000, up more than 2.5% in the last 24 hours. Several technical signs point to the cryptocurrency

Bitcoin Surges Past $114K as Technical Indicators Signal Explosive Rally to $300K

Quick overview

  • Bitcoin is currently trading above $114,000, showing a 2.5% increase in the last 24 hours, with analysts predicting a potential rise to $300,000.
  • Technical indicators, including historic Bollinger Bands and a completed cup-and-handle pattern, suggest significant volatility and bullish momentum ahead.
  • A shakeout pattern analysis indicates that Bitcoin's next milestone could be around $130,000, supported by weakening resistance levels.
  • Institutional demand for Bitcoin ETFs is increasing, reinforcing a bullish outlook despite the ongoing classic bull cycle correction phase.

Bitcoin BTC/USD is again on track above $114,000, up more than 2.5% in the last 24 hours. Several technical signs point to the cryptocurrency getting ready for its biggest price rise ever. BTC is trading at these high levels, which analysts think might lead to a rapid rise toward $300,000.

Bitcoin Surges Past $114K as Technical Indicators Signal Explosive Rally to $300K
Bitcoin price analysis

Historic Bollinger Bands Compression Points to Massive Volatility Ahead

Matthew Hyland, a crypto trader, says that Bitcoin’s monthly Bollinger Bands have reached their “most extreme level” since the cryptocurrency started in January 2009. This is the most convincing technical signal. This indicator, which is used to quantify momentum and volatility in certain price ranges, has traditionally come before Bitcoin’s biggest bull market surges.

“The Bitcoin Bollinger Bands on the 1M (monthly) are at their tightest level ever,” said analyst Crypto Caesar. “This has caused a lot of volatility to the upside in the past. Bitcoin might have a hot fourth quarter.

Extreme contractions in 2012, 2016, and 2020 all came before big price increases. Crypto investor Giannis Andreou says that the present setup is significantly tighter than past cycles, which might mean “the largest move ever seen in BTC price.”

Cup-and-Handle Formation Targets $305,000 Price Level

Bitcoin’s monthly chart shows a completed cup-and-handle pattern with a breakout over the $69,000 neckline in November 2024, in addition to the Bollinger Bands indication. This traditional bullish pattern suggests a target price of almost $305,000, which would be a 170% gain from where the stock is now.

The breakout’s performance confirms the pattern’s validity, and Bitcoin stays above the important neckline, which is a sign of support. However, renowned analyst Thomas Bulkowski’s research shows that just 61% of cup-and-handle setups accomplish their entire targets, which means that investors should be cautiously optimistic.

BTC/USD

 

Shakeout Pattern Analysis Suggests $130K as Next Milestone

CrypFlow, a technical analyst, has found a shakeout pattern that keeps happening that shows how Bitcoin’s bull market is moving forward. The study demonstrates that every time the market expands, it goes through a period of consolidation and shakeout. The most recent correction fits perfectly within this pattern.

CrypFlow says, “Bitcoin never goes up in a straight line.” “Before each expansion phase in its market cycle, there are two steps: a consolidation and a shakeout.”

The weekly stochastic RSI is getting close to being oversold and getting ready for a possible bullish cross. This pattern shows that Bitcoin’s next objective might be above $130,000, which would be a 15.8% gain from where it is now.

Institutional Support and Market Structure Reinforce Bullish Outlook

According to market intelligence company Santiment, institutional demand through spot Bitcoin ETFs has returned to positive territory, with money “moving back into Bitcoin ETFs at a rapid rate.” This institutional support, together with ongoing purchases by treasury companies, gives the technical breakthrough scenarios a strong foundation.

According to researcher Rekt Capital, the cryptocurrency’s barrier at $113,000 seems to be getting weaker after several tests, with each failure leading to “shallower and shallower pullbacks.” This weakening of resistance happens at the same time as a change in order-book liquidity positioning above current spot prices, which makes prices naturally rise.

Bitcoin Price Prediction and Risk Assessment

Bitcoin looks like it’s ready for a multi-phase rise based on the way technical signs are coming together. The next big goal is $130,000, which is backed by the shakeout pattern analysis and the fact that resistance levels are getting weaker. The larger cup-and-handle pattern predicts that the price could reach the $300,000 range between 2025 and 2026.

But investors should keep in mind that Bitcoin is still in what analysts call a “classic bull cycle correction phase,” with possible support around $104,000 before the next big upward leg. Historically tight Bollinger Bands, institutional support, and several bullish chart patterns all coming together make a strong case for a big upside. However, the cryptocurrency market is very volatile, so you need to be careful with your risk management.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Lead Markets Analyst – Multi-Asset (FX, Commodities, Crypto)
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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