Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Targets $43.02 as RSI Flags Strong Bull Run

Silver (XAG/USD) is trading near $42.08, rebounding strongly within its ascending channel. The broader precious metals market...

Quick overview

  • Silver (XAG/USD) is currently trading around $42.08, showing strong recovery within its ascending channel.
  • The precious metals market is benefiting from persistent U.S. inflation and rising jobless claims, increasing demand for non-yielding assets.
  • Silver's industrial demand remains robust, particularly from the solar and electronics sectors, despite a decline in jewelry purchases in Asia.
  • Traders are advised to consider a long entry above $42.10, with key resistance levels at $42.65 and $43.02, while maintaining caution due to overbought conditions.

Silver (XAG/USD) is trading near $42.08, rebounding strongly within its ascending channel. The broader precious metals market has benefited from sticky U.S. inflation — with CPI up 0.4% in August versus 0.3% expected — alongside weakening labor data, as weekly jobless claims rose to 263,000. These signals have bolstered bets for Federal Reserve rate cuts, lifting investor appetite for non-yielding metals.

In industrial markets, silver remains supported by steady demand from solar and electronics sectors, reinforcing its dual role as both a safe-haven and industrial asset. Analysts note that while jewelry buying in Asia has softened, institutional flows continue to anchor silver prices.

Technical Setup for XAG/USD

From a technical perspective, silver has respected its rising channel since late August, with higher lows confirming bullish momentum. The 50-EMA at $41.20 is providing near-term support, while the 200-EMA at $39.24 underpins the broader trend.

[[XAG/USD-graph]]

Candlestick action shows renewed buyer conviction after multiple rejections of the $41.20 area. The latest bullish surge pushed price toward $42.22, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel. The RSI sits at 73, suggesting overbought conditions but also highlighting strong momentum behind the move.

Key resistance now lies at $42.65 and $43.02, levels that could define the next breakout. On the downside, a failure to hold $41.66 risks a pullback toward $40.89 and $40.47.

Silver Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
Silver Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

Silver Trade Setup and Outlook

For traders, a tactical long entry above $42.10 is favored, with upside targets at $42.65 and $43.02. A protective stop just below $41.20 secures against false breakouts. The setup is supported by the channel structure, EMA alignment, and bullish RSI, though caution is warranted given overbought conditions.

If silver clears $43.02, momentum could carry it toward $43.50, reinforcing its role as a hedge in uncertain macro conditions. For newer traders, this means the metal isn’t just rallying on short-term data — it’s riding both safe-haven demand and industrial strength, a rare dual tailwind.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Lead Markets Analyst – Multi-Asset (FX, Commodities, Crypto)
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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