Bullion Rally: Gold Hits Near Seven-Week Peak, Targets $4K/Oz

The bullion asset rose to seven-week highs above $4,320  per ounce

Quick overview

  • Gold prices have reached seven-week highs above $4,320 per ounce, driven by expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve.
  • Increased safe-haven demand amid market uncertainty is likely to further support gold's price, while hawkish Fed comments may bolster the US dollar.
  • Gold's positive outlook remains intact as long as it stays above the 100-day Exponential Moving Average, with the 14-day RSI indicating bullish momentum.
  • Both gold and silver are on track for their best yearly performances since 1979, with gold potentially reaching its all-time high of $4,381 if upward momentum continues.

The bullion asset rose to seven-week highs above $4,320  per ounce. The precious metal rallied on the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower interest rates next year. Lower interest rates could support the non-yielding precious metal by taming gold’s opportunity cost

Safe-Haven Demand Drives Gold’s Five-Day Winning Streak

Furthermore, the risk-averse bias and uncertainty may increase safe-haven flows, which would raise the price of the yellow metal. However, last week’s hawkish comments from Fed officials may help the US dollar.
Traders will take more cues from the speeches by Fed Governor Stephen Miran and New York Fed President John Williams later on Monday.
Gold is trading in positive territory today. As long as the price stays above the crucial 100-day Exponential Moving Average, the precious metal’s positive outlook will continue.

Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is above the midline at 68.75, supports the upward momentum. This illustrates the yellow metal’s bullish momentum. Silver has more than doubled, and the yellow metal has increased by more than 60 percent this year, both on track for their best yearly results since 1979.

Gold went bullish after conflicting statements from Federal Reserve officials led metal traders to reduce bets on additional monetary easing in the world’s largest economy next year. Global risk appetite has decreased due to skepticism that tech stocks, which have propelled global benchmarks to all-time highs, can sustain their high valuations and aggressive AI spending.

The first upside barrier to watch is the $4,345–$4,355 range, which is both the high of December 12 and the upper limit of the Bollinger Band. XAU/USD could return to its all-time high of $4,381 if there is sustained upward momentum. The next resistance level is situated at the $4,400 psychological mark

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Olumide Adesina
Financial Market Writer
Olumide Adesina is a French-born Nigerian financial writer. He tracks the financial markets with over 15 years of working experience in investment trading.

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