Tesla Stock TSLA Bound to Break $500 on Driverless Wins and A Court Ruling

Investor confidence is being rekindled by Tesla's push toward completely autonomous driving, which is boosting TSLA shares back to all-time

Software, Autonomy, and Scale: Tesla’s Rally Gathers Momentum

Quick overview

  • Tesla's stock has surged toward $500, reflecting renewed investor confidence in its autonomous driving ambitions.
  • Recent performance of Tesla's autonomous vehicles during a power outage has reinforced market confidence in its technology.
  • A legal victory for Elon Musk regarding his compensation package has removed uncertainty and bolstered shareholder sentiment.
  • Tesla has begun testing fully driverless vehicles in Austin, marking a significant step toward commercial autonomy and potential high-margin revenue.

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Investor confidence is being rekindled by Tesla’s push toward completely autonomous driving, which is boosting TSLA shares back to all-time highs and bolstering the company’s story of software-led growth.

Tesla Shares Climb Back to Record Territory

Tesla’s share price has surged back toward uncharted territory, with TSLA approaching the $500 mark after touching an intraday high near $499. The rally has lifted the company’s market capitalization to roughly $1.55 trillion, reaffirming Tesla’s standing as one of the most valuable listed firms globally. Investors are increasingly pricing in Tesla not just as an electric vehicle manufacturer, but as a technology company with a long-term software-driven earnings engine.

TSLA Chart Weekly – Marching HigherChart TSLA, W1, 2025.12.22 17:15 UTC, MetaQuotes Ltd., MetaTrader 5, Demo

The renewed strength in the stock reflects growing confidence that Tesla’s autonomous driving ambitions are transitioning from concept to execution, reshaping how markets view its future growth profile.

Autonomy Performance Boosts Market Confidence

Recent developments in autonomous vehicle performance have played a key role in reigniting enthusiasm. During a widespread power outage in San Francisco that disrupted electricity to more than 130,000 homes and businesses, competing robo-taxi services faced operational challenges. Waymo temporarily halted its autonomous services as traffic signals went offline, with vehicles reportedly struggling to navigate intersections safely.

Tesla’s autonomous vehicles, however, continued operating during the blackout. CEO Elon Musk highlighted the contrast, noting that Tesla’s system functioned normally despite the unexpected disruption. For investors, the incident served as a real-world stress test that reinforced confidence in Tesla’s camera-based autonomy approach and its ability to function without heavy reliance on external infrastructure.

Legal Victory Removes a Key Overhang

Adding to the bullish momentum was a significant legal development involving Elon Musk’s compensation package. The Delaware Supreme Court overturned a lower court decision that had invalidated Musk’s 2018 pay agreement, effectively restoring his long-term incentive structure tied to Tesla’s performance milestones.

The ruling removed a major source of uncertainty that had weighed on investor sentiment, particularly around corporate governance and leadership continuity. With the compensation issue resolved, Musk’s role at Tesla appears more secure, reinforcing shareholder confidence in the company’s long-term strategic direction. Markets responded positively, viewing the decision as a stabilizing factor rather than a distraction.

Driverless Testing Signals a Strategic Inflection Point

Perhaps the most important catalyst behind Tesla’s resurgence is confirmation that the company has begun testing fully driverless vehicles in Austin, Texas, without safety drivers inside the cars. This milestone marks a significant step toward commercial autonomy and has strengthened belief that Tesla is approaching a long-anticipated inflection point.

Investors see this as validation of Tesla’s strategy to transform its existing vehicle fleet into a scalable robotaxi network through software updates rather than hardware redesigns. If successful, this shift could unlock a recurring, high-margin revenue stream that more closely resembles a software platform than a traditional automotive business, dramatically expanding Tesla’s earnings potential over the long term.

Sentiment Reverses After Early-Year Weakness

The recent rally also underscores how sharply sentiment has turned since earlier in the year. Tesla shares struggled in the first quarter as softer delivery numbers, margin compression, and increased scrutiny of Musk’s public profile weighed on the stock. Those pressures triggered a notable pullback, prompting concerns about slowing growth and intensifying competition in the EV market.

Momentum began to shift later in the year as revenue growth stabilized and optimism around Full Self-Driving technology gained traction. Since October, Tesla’s stock has rallied roughly 40%, signaling a renewed focus on innovation and long-term opportunity rather than short-term operational headwinds.

Fundamentals and Investment Outlook

Tesla’s operational performance remains mixed across regions, with pockets of softer demand in the U.S. and Europe balanced by resilience in China. At the same time, the company continues to invest heavily in its future, including a major expansion of battery production in Germany aimed at improving scale and cost efficiency.

While valuation levels remain elevated, investors appear increasingly comfortable assigning a premium to Tesla’s autonomy roadmap and technology leadership. As progress in driverless testing continues, markets may further reward the stock for its potential to redefine mobility through software and automation.

With TSLA nearing $500, attention is now focused on whether continued autonomy milestones can sustain the rally and push Tesla into its next phase of record-setting growth.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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