Daily Crypto Signals: Bitcoin Faces Year-End Pressure, XRP Supply Tightens Amid ETF Buying Surge
Bitcoin needs to rally 6.24% in the final days of 2025 to avoid closing the year in the red for the first time in a post-halving period
Quick overview
- Bitcoin needs to rally 6.24% in the last days of 2025 to avoid closing the year in the red for the first time post-halving.
- XRP's exchange balances have dropped to multi-year lows as newly launched ETFs absorb over 750 million tokens.
- Bitmine has deposited $219 million worth of ETH into staking contracts, marking a significant move in institutional adoption of Ethereum.
- Mirae Asset Group is in talks to acquire South Korea's Korbit exchange for $70–100 million, indicating traditional finance's growing interest in digital assets.
Bitcoin BTC/USD needs to rally 6.24% in the final days of 2025 to avoid closing the year in the red for the first time in a post-halving period, while XRP XRP/USD exchange balances have plummeted to multi-year lows as newly launched ETFs absorb over 750 million tokens. Meanwhile, institutional adoption continues as Ethereum ETH/USD treasury firm Bitmine deposits $219 million worth of ETH into staking contracts.
Crypto Market Developments
The cryptocurrency market is at a crucial point as we enter the last days of 2025. Major assets are sending confusing signals, and institutional investors are becoming more involved, changing the way the market works. Bitcoin’s yearly growth are hard to keep up with, but XRP’s supply distribution is changing, and Ethereum is still getting institutional money through staking chances.
Mirae Asset Group is apparently in talks to buy Korbit, the country’s fourth-largest cryptocurrency exchange, for $70–100 million. This is a big step for traditional finance into digital assets in South Korea. Mirae Asset Consulting would lead the possible purchase, which is worth between 100 and 140 billion Korean won. It would involve buying stakes mostly owned by NXC, Simple Capital Futures, and SK Square. Korbit’s full operating license and established compliance infrastructure make it a good regulated entry point for big banks and other financial institutions that want to go into digital assets.
Can Bitcoin Close 2025 in the Green?
Bitcoin (BTC) has a tough road ahead if it wants to end 2025 on a high note. It needs to rise 6.24% over the yearly open price of $93,374 in the last three days of December. Market analyst Nic Puckrin pointed out how important this level is. If Bitcoin doesn’t recover, it will be the first year after the halving that it ends in the red. The price of the world’s biggest cryptocurrency is at about $89,000, which is about 30% less than its all-time high of almost $125,000 in October.
The huge drop from the high in October happened following a spectacular flash crash that shook the whole crypto market. Even though many analysts predicted that the price would reach between $180,000 and $250,000 in 2025, Bitcoin’s progress was stopped by macroeconomic problems. Since November, BTC has been trading below its important 365-day moving average. This broke the structural uptrend that started in 2023 and set a local bottom at $80,000. Investors are currently arguing about whether Bitcoin’s bull market is over or if the asset will reach new all-time highs in 2026 when liquidity conditions ease.
A crucial factor in Bitcoin’s trajectory is the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy, which market participants are constantly watching. The Federal Reserve made three 25 basis point rate decreases in 2025, but Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell gave cautious forward guidance at the Federal Open Market Committee meeting in December, saying that “there is no risk-free path for policy.” The CME Group’s FedWatch tool shows that only 18.8% of investors think there will be another rate decrease in January. This makes it less likely that there will be liquidity injections in the near future, which are usually good for risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies.
XRP Experiences Supply Squeeze as XRP ETF Inflows Grow
XRP (XRP) is going through a huge supply squeeze since balances on controlled exchanges have dropped to about 1.5 billion tokens, the lowest level in more than a year. According to Glassnode, the amount of XRP owned by exchanges has been going down since early 2025, when it was about 4 billion tokens. The biggest reduction happened in the fourth quarter. This long-term downturn shows that holders are shifting tokens into longer-term custody more and more, even as prices are going down. This lowers the pressure to sell in the short term and may make prices more sensitive to incoming demand.
The main reason for this drop in supply is the rise of U.S.-based Spot XRP ETFs, which have taken in almost 750 million XRP tokens since the first product came out in November. The six ETF products have established a strong new source of institutional demand, which keeps taking XRP off exchanges and making the spot market’s supply less liquid. This change in the supply-demand balance going into 2026 hasn’t caused an immediate price change, but it will have a big effect.
Technical analysis shows that XRP may be at a turning point following a long drop from its mid-2025 highs of around $3.50. On the weekly time frame, crypto researcher Steph Is Crypto saw that XRP was sitting on important horizontal support in the $1.90–$2.00 region, which was a level that had been used as a launch point earlier in the cycle. The weekly Stochastic RSI has gone into extreme oversold area, which could mean that selling pressure is running out. Some analysts think that XRP will start to move in a bullish direction in early 2026 because of this technical situation and the fact that on-chain supply measurements are getting tighter.
Bitmine Starts Ethereum Staking
Bitmine, an Ethereum treasury corporation, has started a big staking operation by putting around $219 million worth of ETH into Ethereum’s proof-of-stake system. Arkham’s on-chain data showed that many wallets related to Bitmine sent a total of 74,880 ETH to a “BatchDeposit” contract on Sunday, reflecting patterns that are common in institutional staking installations. Bitmine is the biggest Ethereum treasury firm, and they already own 4.066 million ETH. This is their first time doing staking operations. If they staked all of their ETH at the current annual percentage yield of 3.12%, they might make about 126,800 ETH a year, which is worth almost $371 million at the current price of $2,927 per token.
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