OPEN Stock Needs to Retake $6 to Resume Uptrend as Mortgage Policy Shift Boost OpenDoor Sentiment

Shares of Opendoor Technologies are rebounding as lower mortgage rates and new policy measures improve sentiment around the U.S. housing...

Opendoor Rises After Month-Long Slide on Mortgage Market Optimism

Quick overview

  • Opendoor Technologies' shares have rebounded over 7% as lower mortgage rates and new policies improve sentiment in the U.S. housing market.
  • A recent executive order aims to deregulate the mortgage market, potentially lowering borrowing costs and expanding credit availability.
  • The company's recent earnings report showed revenue surpassing forecasts, indicating a positive outlook and commitment to achieving breakeven adjusted net income by 2026.
  • Future gains for Opendoor will depend on the impact of lower rates and regulatory changes on housing transaction volumes.

Shares of Opendoor Technologies are rebounding as lower mortgage rates and new policy measures improve sentiment around the U.S. housing market.

Stock Rebounds After Recent Decline

After a month-long pullback, Opendoor Technologies has regained momentum, rising more than 7% on March 17, 2026.

The recovery comes as improving housing conditions and policy support help restore investor confidence in the stock, which is closely tied to real estate transaction activity.

Policy Shift Supports Housing Market

The rebound follows a new executive order from President Trump aimed at deregulating parts of the U.S. mortgage market.

The measures are designed to lower borrowing costs, expand credit availability, and modernize the homebuying process. Proposed changes include easing regulations for smaller banks, revising mortgage qualification standards, and reducing reporting requirements.

The administration also highlighted that mortgage rates have fallen to their lowest level in five years, potentially lowering the cost of a new mortgage by around $5,000.

Positive Implications for Opendoor

These developments are particularly supportive for Opendoor’s business model.

Lower mortgage rates can boost buyer demand, while easier credit conditions may increase the number of qualified homebuyers. At the same time, efforts to streamline digital processes—such as e-signatures, remote notarization, and faster appraisals—align closely with Opendoor’s technology-driven approach.

By reducing friction in housing transactions, the policy shift could improve market liquidity and support resale activity, creating a more favorable environment for the company.

Technical Analysis 

Opendoor became one of the standout comeback names of 2025 after staging a remarkable turnaround from just $0.50 in June to $10.85 by early October, marking a 2,000% rally that captured market attention. The surge transformed the property-tech firm into a retail trading favorite, powered by social media enthusiasm and speculation about the company’s technology-driven reinvention.

OPEN Chart Daily – Will the Buyers Push  Above the 20 SMA?

However, following this extraordinary rise, the stock entered a sharp pullback phase, falling over a month as traders booked profits and weaker quarterly results dampened sentiment. Despite the decline, the stock found solid footing around the 200-day simple moving average (purple), which pushed the lows higher — often signaling a potential reversal. However the stock is facing the 50 SMA 9yellow) which has been acting as resistance, pushing OPEN stock lower. So, if the trend is to turn bullish, buyers  should push the stock above the MAs.

Improving Earnings

Opendoor recently released its earnings report, showcasing a revenue of $736M, surpassing the forecasted $596.4M. An improved adjusted EBITDA loss was recorded at $43M compared to the previous year’s $49M loss. Progress was highlighted in endeavors to achieve breakeven on adjusted net income by 2026, indicating robust future outlooks. The combination of improved margins, quicker inventory turnover, and strategic product advancements were pivotal this quarter.

The company focuses on better unit economics and cutting down time on their inventory. This strategy indicates the management’s commitment to achieving breakeven adjusted net income by the end of 2026. The company also promotes its lower-capital Cash Plus product, showcasing a noteworthy contribution margin and quicker home sales. These elements might delight shareholders who have witnessed fluctuating performance by Opendoor over recent years.

Outlook: While the recent rebound reflects improving sentiment, Opendoor remains sensitive to broader housing market trends. Sustained gains will likely depend on whether lower rates and regulatory changes translate into stronger transaction volumes in the months ahead.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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