Pepe Coin Drops Below $0.0000103: Bearish Signals Point to 15% Decline

PEPE (PEPE) is trading close to a critical ascending trendline support at $0.0000103. As of Tuesday, PEPE had already fallen...

Written by: Arslan Butt • Tuesday, June 17, 2025 • 1 min read

• Last updated: Tuesday, June 17, 2025

Quick overview

PEPE is trading near a critical support level at $0.0000103 and has fallen below its 50-day EMA, indicating a potential downtrend.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 40, and the MACD shows bearish momentum, suggesting further losses may occur.
On-chain data reveals a significant shift in investor behavior, with holders realizing losses and an increase in supply on exchanges.
PEPE's future price movement hinges on its ability to hold the $0.0000103 support level, with bearish targets set at $0.0000088 and $0.0000079.

PEPE (PEPE) is trading close to a critical ascending trendline support at $0.0000103. As of Tuesday, PEPE had already fallen below its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.0000114, down 9% from last Thursday to Monday. A daily close below this trendline will confirm the correction and set up for more losses.

On the charts, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 40, showing bearish momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) had a bearish crossover last week and is printing red bars below the zero line—more evidence of a downtrend.

If PEPE fails to hold $0.0000103, the next support is at $0.0000088, a 15% drop. Below that, $0.0000079.

On-Chain Data Shows Bearish Sentiment

Santiment’s Network Realized Profit/Loss (NPL) metric shows a big change in investor behavior. Sunday to Monday, NPL went from 189,150 to -50.21 million. PEPE holders are realizing losses—a clear sign of decreasing confidence.

At the same time, the supply of PEPE on exchanges increased from 103.55 trillion to 104.12 trillion. More tokens being prepared for sale will add to the pressure.

This bearish on-chain data is reflected in the overall market outlook, with IntoTheBlock’s indicators also showing a negative signal.

Pepe Price Outlook: Key Scenarios

Pepe’s next move depends on how it reacts to $0.0000103. Here’s a quick summary:

Bearish:

Daily close below $0.0000103
Target: $0.0000088 (15%)
$0.0000079 if weakness continues

Bullish:

Bounce from $0.0000103 trendline
Target: 50-day EMA at $0.0000114

Keep an eye on the daily close and on-chain. For now, bear.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More

Arslan Butt

Lead Markets Analyst – Multi-Asset (FX, Commodities, Crypto)

Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.