Bitcoin Holds Critical $95,000 Support, $110,000 Next or $85,000 Next Target for BTC Price?
Bitcoin is now holding steady at approximately $95,000 after dipping to $93,029 over the weekend and then rising again. The cryptocurrency
Quick overview
- Bitcoin is currently stable around $95,000 after a recent dip, but it has dropped 25% from its all-time high in October.
- Technical indicators suggest potential for both upward movement and downward risk, with a critical price level at $95,000.
- Institutional flows show conflicting pressures, with significant outflows from Bitcoin ETFs and long-term holders selling off their assets.
- Political endorsements continue to support long-term optimism for Bitcoin, despite economic challenges affecting market rallies.
Bitcoin BTC/USD is now holding steady at approximately $95,000 after dipping to $93,029 over the weekend and then rising again. The cryptocurrency is at a very important point right now since it has dropped 25% from its all-time high in October. Technical indicators show that there is a lot of potential for the price to go up and a lot of risk for the price to go down.
BTC/USD Critical Technical Setup Emerges at $95,000 Level
Burak Kesmeci, a market analyst, has found a number of important signs that suggest a possible turnaround. For the first time in 250 days, the Bitcoin fear (VIX) score stayed above the important 16.50 level for two days in a row. This suggests that the market may have entered an oversold state that has historically led to buying chances. Also, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to 30, which is well below the oversold level.
Kesmeci, on the other hand, warns that these signals don’t mean that a quick recovery is certain. The Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP) is the most important technical factor. It shows a big gap with low volume between $95,000 and $85,000. If the price drops below its present level, there might be a quick drop to $85,000 in one candle as the market tries to fill this volume gap. On the other hand, if $95,000 holds, it could mean that market makers are setting up accumulation zones, which could start a response rally toward $110,000.
Institutional Flows Create Conflicting Pressures
Recently, prices have been poor at the same time that institutions have been quite unstable. Spot Bitcoin ETFs lost over $870 million in net outflows in one session, which was one of the biggest redemption occurrences since they started. Long-term holders, on the other hand, sold more than 815,000 BTC in the last month, making more than $3 billion in gains.
According to Glassnode analysts, this distribution is a natural part of a bull market, not a sign of weakness in the market. The gradual rise of elderly investors selling their Bitcoin is normal at the end of a cycle and not a sign that people are leaving Bitcoin.
Political Support Meets Economic Headwinds
Endorsements from well-known people keep the long-term optimism going. Eric Trump recently said that Bitcoin is the “greatest asset” ever made and kept his long-term price target of $1 million. He said that Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins and expanding use by businesses make it a good investment. He called it “digital gold” since it transfers value faster and cheaper than real gold.
This statement fits with the main story of 2025: the Trump administration’s support for cryptocurrencies has led to more regulation and more companies using them in their treasuries. But protectionist policies and the recent 43-day government shutdown have made things harder for the economy, which has kept rallies from going up all year.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Three Scenarios Into Year-End
- Bullish Case ($110,000 target): If Bitcoin can hold on at $95,000 and market makers keep buying, it’s likely that the price will rise to $110,000. To do this, ETF flows need to stabilize, and there needs to be technical confirmation through bullish RSI divergence.
- Base Case ( Between $93,000 and $101,000): More plausible is that Bitcoin will keep trading in November’s range, which will help it establish volume support as it waits for clearer macroeconomic catalysts. Matt Hougan, the CIO of Bitwise, thinks that 2026 will be a good year for crypto because more people will use stablecoins, tokens, and the “debasement trade” thesis.
- Bearish Case (Risk of $85,000): If the price drops below $95,000 and doesn’t bounce back right away, it might fill the feared volume gap down to $85,000. This would probably happen with more ETF outflows and long-term holders selling their shares.
- Check out our free forex signals
- Follow the top economic events on FX Leaders economic calendar
- Trade better, discover more Forex Trading Strategies
- Open a FREE Trading Account
Save