EUR/INR Forecast Q4 2020: Will We See A Decent Pullback?

Edited by: Dime Levov
0.0000
MARKETS TREND
TRADE EUR/INR
Daily Price Prediction: 100.07 INR
Weekly Price Prediction: 100.23 INR

Prices Forecast: Technical Analysis

For the EUR/INR, the daily closing price is predicted to be around 100.07 INR, with a range between 99.92 INR and 100.14 INR. The weekly closing price is expected to be approximately 100.23 INR, with a range from 99.76 INR to 100.23 INR. The RSI at 53.334 suggests a neutral trend, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The ATR of 0.9076 points to moderate volatility, while the ADX at 23.6313 indicates a weak trend. The MACD line above the signal line suggests bullish momentum, but the histogram shows a decreasing trend, indicating potential consolidation. The Bollinger Bands show a narrowing range, suggesting reduced volatility. The pivot point at 99.99 INR is crucial, with the asset trading slightly above it, indicating a potential bullish bias. Economic indicators like the USD Housing Starts and Building Permits suggest stable economic conditions, which could support the EUR/INR’s stability.

Fundamental Overview and Analysis

Recently, EUR/INR has shown a steady upward trend, reflecting a stable economic environment in the Eurozone and India. Factors such as stable economic indicators and moderate inflation rates have supported this trend. Investor sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with a focus on economic data releases. Opportunities for growth include potential economic recovery in the Eurozone and India’s robust economic performance. However, risks such as geopolitical tensions and regulatory changes could pose challenges. The current valuation appears fair, given the balanced economic outlook. Market participants are closely watching economic indicators and central bank policies for future guidance. Overall, the asset seems to be fairly priced, with potential for moderate growth.

Outlook for EUR/INR

The future outlook for EUR/INR appears stable, with potential for moderate appreciation. Historical price movements show a gradual upward trend, supported by stable economic conditions. Key factors influencing the price include economic data releases, central bank policies, and geopolitical developments. In the short term (1 to 6 months), the price is expected to remain within the current range, with potential for slight appreciation. Long-term forecasts (1 to 5 years) suggest gradual growth, driven by economic recovery and policy support. External factors such as geopolitical tensions or market crashes could significantly impact the price. Overall, the outlook remains cautiously optimistic, with potential for moderate gains.

Technical Analysis

Current Price Overview: The current price of EUR/INR is 99.9994 INR, slightly above the previous close of 99.9994 INR. Over the last 24 hours, the price has shown stability with moderate volatility, lacking any significant patterns or candles.
Support and Resistance Levels: Key support levels are at 99.92 INR, 99.83 INR, and 99.76 INR, while resistance levels are at 100.07 INR, 100.14 INR, and 100.23 INR. The pivot point is at 99.99 INR, with the asset trading slightly above it, indicating a potential bullish bias.
Technical Indicators Analysis: The RSI at 53.334 suggests a neutral trend. The ATR of 0.9076 indicates moderate volatility. The ADX at 23.6313 shows weak trend strength. The 50-day SMA and 200-day EMA do not show any significant crossover, indicating a stable trend.
Market Sentiment & Outlook: Sentiment is currently neutral to slightly bullish, with the price trading above the pivot point. The RSI and ADX suggest a stable trend, while the lack of moving average crossover indicates no significant momentum shift. Moderate ATR-based volatility suggests a stable market environment.

Forecasting Returns: $1,000 Across Market Conditions

Investing $1,000 in EUR/INR under different market scenarios can yield varying returns. In a Bullish Breakout scenario, a 5% price increase could raise the investment to approximately $1,050. In a Sideways Range scenario, the investment might remain around $1,000, reflecting stable conditions. In a Bearish Dip scenario, a 5% price decrease could reduce the investment to about $950. These scenarios highlight the importance of market conditions in determining investment outcomes. Investors should consider their risk tolerance and market outlook when making decisions. Diversification and regular monitoring of economic indicators can help manage risks and optimize returns. Staying informed about geopolitical developments and central bank policies is crucial for making informed investment choices.

Scenario Price Change Value After 1 Month
Bullish Breakout +5% to ~$105 ~$1,050
Sideways Range 0% to ~$100 ~$1,000
Bearish Dip -5% to ~$95 ~$950

FAQs

What are the predicted price forecasts for the asset?

The daily closing price for EUR/INR is predicted to be around 100.07 INR, with a range between 99.92 INR and 100.14 INR. The weekly closing price is expected to be approximately 100.23 INR, with a range from 99.76 INR to 100.23 INR.

What are the key support and resistance levels for the asset?

Key support levels for EUR/INR are at 99.92 INR, 99.83 INR, and 99.76 INR. Resistance levels are at 100.07 INR, 100.14 INR, and 100.23 INR. The pivot point is at 99.99 INR, with the asset trading slightly above it, indicating a potential bullish bias.

Disclaimer

In conclusion, while the analysis provides a structured outlook on the asset’s potential price movements, it is essential to remember that financial markets are inherently unpredictable. Conducting thorough research and staying informed about market trends and economic indicators is crucial for making informed investment decisions.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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