Top Two Reasons of Bearish WTI Crude Oil - Forex News by FX Leaders

Top Two Reasons of Bearish WTI Crude Oil

Posted Tuesday, October 3, 2017 by
Arslan Butt • 1 min read

Oil traded as we forecasted in our earlier forecast Trade Setup In The WTI Crude Oil – Sideways Channel Still Alive. But the drop in Crude Oil was massive and uncertain. Today, I think we will have another good opportunity it Crude Oil. Let's take a look.

Reasons Behind a Sell-off

Firstly as per Iraq, their exports lifted slightly in the month of September, particularly from their southern oil fields. Increase in exports indicates the increased supply of Crude Oil in the market. Here applies the Law of Supply: The increased supply and stable demand result in fall in prices of things. That's exactly what happened to Crude Oil a day before.

Secondly, do you remember the crude oil trading range of $51.40 -$52.30? It's violated over fundamentals release, and investors jumped to trade the breakout. As of now, I see an immediate support at $50.10 and a solid resistance is found at $50.75.

Crude Oil - 4 - Hour Chart - Range BreakoutCrude Oil – 4 – Hour Chart – Range Breakout

The Oil is oversold, and we need to wait a bit for Oil to pull back until $50.75 before placing any trade. Well, It really doesn't mean that we need to take a buy position now.

WTI Crude Oil – Trading Idea 

Today, I will be focusing on $50.75 to enter a sell position below this with a stop loss above $51.10 and a take profit of $50.25. Good luck!

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About the author

Arslan Butt // Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt is our Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst. Arslan is a professional market analyst and day trader. He holds an MBA in Behavioral Finance and is working towards his Ph.D. Before joining FX Leaders Arslan served as a senior analyst in a major brokerage firm. Arslan is also an experienced instructor and public speaker.
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