Aug 08 - Economic Events Outlook - RBNZ OCR Up Next - FX Leaders News
NZD Official Cash Rate In Play

Aug 08 – Economic Events Outlook – RBNZ OCR Up Next

Posted Wednesday, August 8, 2018 by
Arslan Butt • 2 min read

The global financial markets are still facing the trade war sentiments. The Greenback was a bit lower even after the U.S. Trade Representative’s office stated that the U.S. would begin collecting 25% tariffs on another $16 billion in Chinese goods. The U.S. should be ready for a tit-for-tat situation as China has pledged to counter to an even degree. Let’s find out what we have on the economic calendar…

Watchlist – Key Economic Events

Inflation Expectations – NZD

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) quarterly inflation came out at 2% vs. 2% in the previous quarter. Meanwhile, yearly expectations held at 1.86%. RBNZ Assistant Governor McDermott remarked that the inflation forecast is a key influence on the OCR (official cash rate) track. The New Zealand dollar is likely to stay supported over the recent inflation expectations. NZD/USD took a bullish turn to trade at $0.6750 and it may face resistance near $0.6775 along with a resistance near $0.6725

Building Permits m/m – CAD

The Census Bureau will release the building permits. It’s an excellent gauge of future construction activity because obtaining a permit is among the first steps in constructing a new building. Inevitably, we only invest in capital assets when the economic activities are on track.

As per economists’ forecast, the building permits are likely to drop from 4.7% to -0.1% in Aug. Investors should be ready to trade it at 13:30 (GMT).

Crude Oil Inventories – USD

Today at 15:30 (GMT), the Energy Information Administration is due to release the stockpile report. For your information, it shows a change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week. Economists are expecting a draw of -2.8M vs. 3.8M in the previous week. Crude oil can stay supported based on the negative forecast. We will share a trading plan for it so stay tuned to FX Leaders.

RBNZ – Monetary Policy Statement – NZD

Just like Australian RBA, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand has not changed interest rates since 2016 and no change to the 1.75% Cash Rate is expected now. The recent labor market report recorded a robust growth in employment, forming an interest rate hike sentiment. But an unexpected increase in wages has dented the rate hike sentiment.
Anyway, it will be exciting to hear if the central bank talks about trade concerns and also its new mandate. Good luck!

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About the author

Arslan Butt is our Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt is our Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst. Arslan is a professional market analyst and day trader. He holds an MBA in Behavioral Finance and is working towards his Ph.D. Before joining FX Leaders Arslan served as a senior analyst in a major brokerage firm. Arslan is also an experienced instructor and public speaker.
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