The Downtrend Has Stalled for USD/JPY, but the Sellers Remain in Charge

USD/JPY has been on a bearish trend throughout last week, but the trend has slowed now

USD/JPY has formed a base now at 109.50

[[USD/JPY]] turned bearish at the start of last week after Trump’s tweet for increased tariffs on China, which seemed surprising at first but weren’t that surprising after getting to know that China had let down its own promises. As a result, safe havens opened with a gap higher, thus USD/JPY opened with a gap lower.

The sellers kept pushing lower all week and the pace of the downtrend was respectable, considering that the sellers weren’t waiting for the price to make a proper retrace higher before jumping in. They kept selling non-stop as the certainty increased. You can spot the strength of the trend by watching which moving averages work. The 20 SMA (grey) was pushing the price lower all week, apart from Friday, which shows that the trend was pretty strong.

Although, in the last three days we haven’t seen this pair make new lows, which suggests that the downtrend has stalled for now. But, the buyers are still nowhere to be seen yet. We saw another bearish gap last night while today the 50 SMA (yellow) is providing resistance. So, still bearish, but there’s a chance that we might see a decent retrace higher if the sellers can’t make new lows. But for now, sellers remain in control.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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