China’s Economic Growth to Weaken in Q1 2020: Reuters Poll

A recent Reuters poll reveals that the coronavirus outbreak is expected to slow down China's quarterly economic growth to the weakest pace

China's Economic Growth to Weaken in Q1 2020: Reuters Poll

A recent Reuters poll reveals that the coronavirus outbreak is expected to slow down China’s quarterly economic growth to the weakest pace seen in over a decade, but the impact can be limited once the outbreak is successfully contained. China’s economic growth is expected to weaken to 4.5% in Q1 2020 from 6.0% seen in Q4 2019.

China’s GDP for the entire year is also expected to slow down to 5.5% from last year’s 6.1%. However, if the spread of the virus is contained soon, economic growth can improve to 5.7% during Q2 2020.

While the manufacturing sector could recover once the outbreak is brought under control and factories reopen, the damage to the services sector on account of the reduced consumption during the lockdown period will have a more severe impact and cannot be fixed.

In the worst-case scenario with China failing to contain the spread of the virus, economic growth can weaken to as low as 3.5% during the first quarter of this year. This could bring down overall GDP for 2020 to a low of 5%.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

Related Articles

Comments

0 0 votes
Article Rating
Subscribe
Notify of
0 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments

HFM

Doo Prime

XM

Best Forex Brokers