Bitcoin Nears Historic $100K Milestone as Fed Decision Amplifies Market Momentum

Bitcoin reclaims $98,000 level following Fed's decision to hold rates steady despite pressure from President Trump

Bitcoin Nears Historic $100K Milestone as Fed Decision Amplifies Market Momentum

Quick overview

  • Bitcoin has risen over 2.4% in the last 24 hours, surpassing $98,000 and approaching the significant $100,000 level.
  • The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates has contributed to Bitcoin's upward movement, despite economic uncertainties.
  • Technical analysis indicates a strengthening bullish structure for Bitcoin, with key resistance levels identified for traders to monitor.
  • Market analysts predict that a breakout above $100,000 could lead to a rally towards Bitcoin's previous all-time high of around $109,000.

Rising above the $98,000 mark, Bitcoin BTC/USD has increased over 2.4% in the previous 24 hours and is very close to the psychologically relevant $100,000 level. Direct response to the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to keep interest rates in the 4.25% to 4.50% range despite mounting pressure from President Donald Trump is this movement.

Bitcoin Nears Historic $100K Milestone as Fed Decision Amplifies Market Momentum
Bitcoin price analysis

Fed Rate Decision Catalyzes Bitcoin’s Upward Trajectory

Key considerations in the decision stated by Fed Chair Jerome Powell as rising hazards of increased unemployment and inflation were Powell underlined that, even if inflation has “come down a great deal,” it still exceeds the Fed’s 2% target. Though he said that “despite increased uncertainty, the economy is still in a solid position,” he saw a “sharp decline in sentiment” among consumers and companies, mostly related to worries over Trump’s trade policy.

After Powell’s comments, the bitcoin first fell below $96,000 but soon recovered, proving amazing fortitude in face of macroeconomic uncertainty. By the end of 2025, market forecasts indicate the Fed funds rate might drop to roughly 3.6%, therefore possibly creating a more favorable climate for risk assets like Bitcoin.

BTC/USD Technical Analysis Points to Strengthening Bullish Structure

BTC/USD

 

As the digital asset tests vital resistance levels, Bitcoin’s technical signals show an ever more positive picture. BTC effectively broke over a bearish trend line with resistance at $97,200 on the hourly chart after laying a strong basis at the $93,500 support zone.

Now trading comfortably above both its 100-hour Simple Moving Average and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracing level of the upward movement from $95,824 to $98,292 is the bitcoin. With the MACD signal accelerating in the bullish zone and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) keeping levels above 50, this situation suggests great underlying momentum.

As Bitcoin challenges the top limits of its trading range, analyst Big Cheds recently noted its “beautiful 4H strength,” suggesting the start of a breakout phase should bulls be able to sustain pressure and turn flip resistance into support.

Critical Support and Resistance Levels to Watch

Several important price points should be closely watched by traders and investors tracking Bitcoin’s next movements:

Resistance Levels:

  • $98,250 (immediate resistance)
  • $98,800 (key breakout level)
  • $99,500 (pre-$100K resistance)
  • $100,000 (major psychological barrier)

Support Levels:

  • $97,700 (immediate support)
  • $97,000 (major support and 50% Fibonacci retracement)
  • $96,400 (secondary support)
  • $94,200 (critical foundation support)

Market analysts believe that a clean breakout and daily closing above $100,000 will probably inspire a strong comeback toward Bitcoin’s former all-time high close around $109,000. On the other hand, a decline below the $90,000 support zone could endanger the present framework and maybe confirm bearish trend.

BTC Mining Industry Adapts Post-Halving

After April’s halving event, which cut mining earnings from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC, the larger Bitcoin ecosystem keeps changing. Though missing analyst revenue projections, major industry player Core Scientific recently reported a significant Q1 2025 net profit of $580 million—more than twice its $210 million net income from the year-ago quarter.

Adam Sullivan, CEO of Core Scientific, called the quarter a “inflection point,” stressing the company’s strategic orientation in view of a major change in contemporary computer architecture. Like several of its rivals including Riot Platformes, Hive Digital, and Iris Energy, the company has started shifting its activities toward artificial intelligence services and high-performance computers (HPC).

With asset manager VanEck estimating that if publicly traded Bitcoin mining companies moved just 20% of their energy capacity to AI and HPC by 2027, they could create additional yearly profits of $13.9 billion over 13 years, so proving vital for the long-term sustainability of mining companies.

Bitcoin Price Prediction

The present price behavior of Bitcoin shows a market trapped between expectation and uncertainty. Concurrent with spot Bitcoin ETFs reporting inflows of approximately $4.41 billion since late March, both strong indicators for ongoing bullish momentum—the Crypto Fear & Greed Index has returned to “Greed” zone.

Given Bitcoin’s technical strength, recent price action producing lower lows, and favorable macroeconomic background, the cryptocurrency seems positioned to test the important $100,000 mark in the next days or weeks. Should this psychological barrier be broken with great volume, Bitcoin might rapidly reach its former all-time high close to $109,000.

Though impressive price activity in recent weeks, cautious investors point out that Bitcoin has often missed this mark. Should the Fed delay rate reductions through 2025, network economist Timothy Peterson cautioned that this might cause a more general market decline possibly driving Bitcoin back towards $70,000.

As Bitcoin continues to be under increasing pressure against range highs, its structure seems to be somewhat optimistic for now. The cryptocurrency seems to be preparing the ground for a major breakthrough that might define market attitude for months to come. To confirm the next significant trend, it would be prudent to keep an eye on daily closes above resistance levels and trade volumes.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Lead Markets Analyst – Multi-Asset (FX, Commodities, Crypto)
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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