Buy Signal for Tesla Stock – Trade Deal Lifts TSLA Above Key Resistance

After a challenging start to the year, Tesla shares have rebounded into bullish territory due to improved mood and geopolitical developments

Tesla’s Stock Revival: From Political Pressures to Market Leadership

Quick overview

  • Tesla shares have surged back into bullish territory, closing at $318.38 after a strong week fueled by improving sentiment and geopolitical breakthroughs.
  • The stock's breakout above $300 represents a critical technical level, indicating a bullish trajectory and reclaiming its 100-week simple moving average.
  • Tesla's market capitalization has regained the $1 trillion status, reflecting a rapid reversal in sentiment aligned with favorable macro conditions.
  • The company's recent performance signals a broader shift in investor confidence, as easing trade tensions and strong technical signals support continued strength.

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After a challenging start to the year, Tesla shares have rebounded into bullish territory due to improved mood and geopolitical developments.

Tesla Rallies to Multi-Month High, Closes Above $300

Tesla (TSLA) capped off a strong week with a decisive rally, signaling renewed investor enthusiasm. The stock closed at $298.28 on Friday, marking its highest level since late February and locking in a 5% weekly gain—its third consecutive positive week. On Monday, that momentum exploded, with shares jumping another 6% to close at $318.38, propelled by easing geopolitical tensions and broader market optimism.

The breakout followed the weekend announcement of a trade truce between the U.S. and China, achieved through talks in Switzerland. This agreement provided a 90-day window of tariff relief, which improved global risk appetite and sparked gains across major indices. Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 surged around 3%, but Tesla outpaced them, outperforming most large-cap peers.

Crossing Key Levels: $300 Breach Fuels Bullish Technical Outlook for TSLAChart TSLA, W1, 2025.05.13 19:57 UTC, MetaQuotes Ltd., MetaTrader 5, Demo

Tesla’s move above $300 is more than symbolic—it represents a critical technical and psychological level that had previously served as resistance. The breakout puts the stock back on a bullish trajectory, especially as it decisively reclaimed its 100-week simple moving average (SMA)—a key long-term trendline watched by institutional investors.

Now up 45% from its year-to-date low, Tesla’s share price is quickly gaining ground after bottoming out near $220. That level had formed a solid support zone in Q1, following steep declines triggered by poor delivery numbers and growing political scrutiny, particularly in relation to CEO Elon Musk’s ties to the U.S. administration.

Market Cap Regains Trillion-Dollar Status Amid Broader Recovery

The latest surge has pushed Tesla’s market capitalization back above $1 trillion, underscoring how quickly sentiment can reverse when fundamentals align with macro tailwinds. The rally comes as speculation grows around a potential second term for Donald Trump, whose policies and personal connections with Musk are viewed by some investors as favorable to the EV industry and broader tech sector.

Looking ahead, Tesla’s recovery sets the stage for a potential retest of its record highs near $488, reached after the 2024 U.S. election. With improving global trade dynamics, strong technical signals, and renewed market leadership, the company appears well-positioned for further upside.

Conclusion: Tesla’s Rebound Signals Broader Shift in Risk Appetite

Tesla’s recent performance reflects more than just stock-specific recovery—it mirrors a broader shift in investor confidence. As trade tensions ease and global growth expectations stabilize, high-beta names like TSLA are finding favor again. A strong technical setup, improving macro landscape, and revived appetite for megacaps could support continued strength for the stock in the weeks ahead.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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