Crude Oil Prices Soar: Sell the WTI Bounce Below Resistance as US-Iran Tensions Fade?

Crude oil prices soared following growing geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran, paired with surprising inventory data and investor.

Geopolitical Strain Sparks Sharp Rise in Crude Oil

Quick overview

  • Crude oil prices surged over 6% amid escalating geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran, with WTI crude jumping from $64.70 to $68.70.
  • Investor anxiety increased as the US urged military families to evacuate the Middle East, contributing to a late-day price spike.
  • Gold prices also rose as investors sought safe havens, reflecting a broader risk aversion in the market.
  • Despite the recent rally, analysts caution that the gains may be speculative and unsustainable if tensions ease.

Live USOIL Chart

USOIL
0.0000
MARKETS TREND
TRADE USOIL

Crude oil prices soared following growing geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran, paired with surprising inventory data and investor flight to safe assets.

Crude Oil Soars as Tensions Mount Between US and Iran

Oil markets experienced a dramatic surge on Wednesday as geopolitical uncertainty between the United States and Iran escalated. President Donald Trump expressed doubts about a potential nuclear deal, further fueling concerns in the region.

US WTI crude prices jumped from $64.70 to $68.70—a $4 leap and a gain of over 6%—breaking above the 200-day simple moving average, a technical level that had consistently acted as resistance. Brent crude followed closely, ending the session at $70.78 per barrel, also up $4, marking a parallel 6% increase.

Safety Concerns Drive Market Sentiment

Reports emerged suggesting the US had begun urging military families in the Middle East to evacuate due to heightened security risks. This development contributed to a late-day price spike, intensifying investor anxiety and adding to the bullish momentum in oil.

Strong Rally in Commodities Reflects Risk Aversion

In parallel with oil, gold also experienced a significant uptick. Prices rose by $30.76, or 0.93%, reaching $3353, as investors shifted toward traditional safe havens in response to uncertainty in global markets.

Market Perspective and Outlook

This latest climb places WTI crude at its highest level since April 3. Despite the surge, many analysts view the move as speculative, warning that such gains may not be sustainable if tensions ease. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) also reported a larger-than-expected inventory drawdown last week, supporting the rally in the short term. However, this factor is unlikely to sustain prolonged bullishness on its own.

US WTI Crude Chart Daily – Are Buyers Done?

With prices approaching the $70 level, some traders may see this as a prime opportunity to take profits, targeting potential pullbacks toward $65 or even $60.

Weekly US Petroleum Inventory Data (Week Ending June 6, 2025):

EIA Crude Oil Inventories:

  • Actual: -3.644M barrels (draw)
  • Expected: -1.960M barrels
  • Previous: -4.304M barrels
  • ➤ Larger-than-expected draw, but smaller than the prior week’s drop

Gasoline Inventories (EIA):

  • Actual: +1.504M barrels
  • Expected: +853K barrels
  • ➤ Stockpiles rose more than forecast, pointing to weaker demand or higher refinery output

Distillate Inventories (EIA):

  • Actual: +1.246M barrels
  • Expected: +824K barrels
  • ➤ Moderate build, aligned with seasonal trends

API Data (June 5, 2025):

  • Crude: -370K barrels (much smaller draw than EIA reported)
  • Gasoline: +3.969M barrels (significant build)
  • Distillates: +3.712M barrels (strong build)
  • ➤ API showed heavier product builds and less crude draw, adding uncertainty

US WTI Crude Live Chart

 

WTI

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

Related Articles

HFM

Doo Prime

XM

Best Forex Brokers