Toncoin Whales Buy 120K Tokens as Price Eyes 20% Rally Toward $4.21

Toncoin (TON) rose 1% on Wednesday, following Tuesday’s 5% gain, after a short consolidation period. The rally is backed by a big...

Quick overview

  • Toncoin (TON) rose 1% on Wednesday, following a 5% gain on Tuesday, driven by significant whale accumulation of 120,000 TON in July.
  • The increase in whale holdings to 5.61 million TON indicates growing institutional interest, which may signal potential market rallies.
  • Derivatives data shows a 12.55% rise in Open Interest, suggesting strong demand for TON futures and options.
  • Technically, Toncoin is targeting key resistance levels, with bullish momentum indicated by recent price movements and trading volume.

Toncoin (TON) rose 1% on Wednesday, following Tuesday’s 5% gain, after a short consolidation period. The rally is backed by a big increase in buying from large holders (whales) who have accumulated 120,000 TON so far in July, according to Santiment. This has brought their total holdings to 5.61 million TON, a sign of growing institutional interest in the asset.

At a time when sentiment is mixed, this whale activity could be a precursor to more upside. Historically, whale accumulation precedes broader market rallies as their activity influences smaller traders and triggers follow-on buying.

Derivatives Data Points to Rising Demand

Derivatives also support the bullish case. According to CoinGlass, Toncoin’s Open Interest (OI) rose 12.55% in the last 24 hours to $344.57 million. This is close to the all-time high of $362.85 million set on August 26, 2024, and shows a lot of capital flowing into TON futures and options markets.

Other bullish signs:

  • OI-weighted funding rate at 0.0060%, buyer dominance
  • Consistent increase in trading volume and liquidity
  • Strong long demand on positive momentum

This means traders are positioning for more upside and bulls are willing to pay to hold their positions, which is a sign of growing conviction.

Toncoin Targets Key Resistance

From a technical perspective, Toncoin has broken above a short-term trendline, bounced off the 100-day EMA and is heading for the 200-day EMA at $3.551. The RSI is at 63, which is high but still within a range that allows for more upside before it gets overbought.

Toncoin Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
Toncoin Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

However, the MACD is showing a potential reversal as the MACD line approaches the signal line. This means while the momentum is still bullish, it may weaken if the 200-day EMA holds.

Key Levels to Watch:

  • Bullish trigger: Above $3.551 (200-day EMA)
  • Target: $4.21 resistance (20% from current levels)
  • Stop: $3.176 (100-day EMA)

Buy on confirmation above 200-day EMA

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Lead Markets Analyst – Multi-Asset (FX, Commodities, Crypto)
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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