APLD Stock Soars 70% in 2 Weeks Amid Applied Digital Infrastructure Momentum

Insider selling, stretched valuations, and heightened competition in the tech infrastructure market have all contributed to the APPL share..

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Applied Digital Balances High Valuations with Bold Growth Strategy

Quick overview

  • Applied Digital (APLD) has experienced significant volatility due to insider selling and competitive pressures in the AI infrastructure market.
  • Despite a sharp decline in early September, APLD shares have rebounded by 37% following a new leasing agreement with CoreWeave, boosting projected revenue.
  • Concerns about high valuations persist, with APLD's price-to-sales ratio significantly above the industry average, but investor interest in AI infrastructure remains strong.
  • The company is pursuing ambitious growth plans, including the $3 billion Polaris Forge 2 data center project, which is expected to enhance its market position.

Insider selling, stretched valuations, and heightened competition in the tech infrastructure market have all contributed to the Applied Digital (NASDAQ: APLD) stock breakout.

Insider Selling and Market Volatility

APLD shares fell sharply in early September, tumbling 25% in less than two weeks to settle at $13.16, a steep drop from record highs set in August. Investor sentiment was further unsettled when CEO Wes Cummins sold 400,000 shares for $6.1 million at $15.26 each, fueling worries about internal confidence.

The timing coincided with Alibaba’s rollout of a new AI processor, raising fears of competitive headwinds in the already crowded AI infrastructure space. Despite these pressures, Applied Digital staged a remarkable recovery. A 37% rally this week alone lifted shares back above $18, powered by five straight days of gains and a broader 10-day winning streak that added nearly $2 billion to its market capitalization, now standing at $6.3 billion.

CoreWeave Deal Fuels Optimism

The main driver behind APLD’s turnaround was the announcement of a new leasing agreement with CoreWeave, which boosted the company’s projected contracted revenue to around $11 billion. While details on the funding sources remain unclear, the news pushed the stock as high as $18.60 and reaffirmed confidence in APLD’s competitive standing.

The agreement also strengthens APLD’s foothold in blockchain hosting and high-performance computing (HPC), placing it in closer competition with names like Core Scientific and TeraWulf.

APLD Chart Daily – Leaving Behind MAsChart APLD, D1, 2025.09.22 17:11 UTC, MetaQuotes Ltd., MetaTrader 5, Demo

Valuation Pressures in a Hot Sector

Despite recent momentum, concerns about valuation remain a headwind.

  • Q2 revenue: $38.01 million (+41.3% YoY), but still below Wall Street expectations.
  • Price-to-sales ratio: 13.5x, far above the industry average of 3.5x, leaving the stock vulnerable to profit-taking.

Still, investor appetite for AI infrastructure remains strong. Developments such as Super Micro Computer’s Nvidia-powered Blackwell systems and Oracle’s landmark deal with OpenAI show the scale of enterprise spending flowing into the sector.

Growth Ambitions: Polaris Forge 2

To sustain momentum, Applied Digital has unveiled ambitious expansion plans. The $3 billion Polaris Forge 2 data center project in North Dakota, spanning 900 acres and delivering 280 MW of power, is slated for completion in 2027. The facility is expected to employ over 200 staff and could serve as a cornerstone of long-term growth.

The company also confirmed it is in discussions with a major U.S. hyperscaler, a potential partnership that could provide additional stability and credibility in the years ahead.

Earnings Offer Encouragement

Applied Digital’s latest quarterly results exceeded expectations.

  • Loss per share: only $0.03 vs. estimates of a $0.14 loss.
  • Improved performance was driven by tighter cost controls and stronger operating efficiency.

These results, combined with its ambitious project pipeline and high-profile contracts, have helped restore investor optimism despite ongoing valuation debates.

Conclusion: Applied Digital’s rollercoaster month underscores the balance between opportunity and risk in the AI infrastructure race. Insider sales and elevated valuations stirred doubt, but the CoreWeave deal, ambitious expansion plans, and resilient earnings have revived confidence in its growth trajectory. With shares now trading above $23, APLD is once again commanding investor attention as it pursues bold long-term goals.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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