Bitcoin Hits $116K With $3.5B ETF Boost, $120K Target Now in Sight

Bitcoin (BTC) is up, breaking above $116,000 after consolidating in a rising channel for several days. At the moment, BTC is at $116,400...

Quick overview

  • Bitcoin (BTC) has surged above $116,000, currently trading at $116,400, marking a 1.65% increase in 24 hours.
  • The rally is supported by significant inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs, totaling $3.53 billion for September.
  • Analysts suggest that the current accumulation and reduced miner selling indicate a bullish trend, with potential for BTC to reach $180,000 in Q4.
  • Technical indicators show a golden cross, but caution is advised due to overbought conditions, suggesting a possible short-term pullback.

Bitcoin (BTC) is up, breaking above $116,000 after consolidating in a rising channel for several days. At the moment, BTC is at $116,400, up 1.65% in 24 hours and 6.2% in the last month. The move was driven by a strong green candle that closed above $114,865, showing renewed buying.

BTC is now facing resistance at $117,956 and $119,289, with a run to the psychological $120,300 if momentum holds. Year to date, Bitcoin’s market cap has gone from $870 billion to $1.07 trillion, that’s how big the institutional demand is.

Daily spot volume is down to $56.3 billion, -6% from the previous day, while futures volume is up. Coinglass data shows $80.95 billion in futures volume (+2%) and open interest steady at $81.79 billion, traders are being cautious but adding more leverage.

Uptober is Here

The rally is being supported by big inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs. According to SoSoValue, $429.9 million flowed in on September 30, second day in a row and September’s total is now $3.53 billion.

Breakdown of inflows:

  • BlackRock’s IBIT: $199.4M
  • Ark Invest’s ARKB: $105.7M
  • Fidelity’s FBTC: $54.7M

No one is selling. Analysts say this accumulation, combined with reduced miner selling, is a sign of structural bullishness. CryptoQuant’s Carmelo Alemán even thinks BTC could go to $180,000 in Q4 if demand keeps up.

Bitcoin Technicals

On the charts, Bitcoin is in a clear higher low structure, accumulation is happening. 50-EMA ($112,810) just crossed above 200-EMA ($112,883) and that’s a golden cross that often means longer term strength.

Bitcoin Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
Bitcoin Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
  • Support: $114,800-$115,200, deeper at $113,700
  • Resistance: $117,950, $119,300, $120,300
  • RSI: 75, overbought and could consolidateBullish but be cautious. Overbought means short term pullback is possible, watch for shooting star or three black crows.

Trade: For newbies, patience is the key. A better entry will come on a dip to $114,800-$115,200, confirmed by a green candle like a hammer. Targets are $117,950 and $119,300, stop loss below $113,700. Aggressive traders can ride the current break out but RSI is overbought so risk management is a must.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Lead Markets Analyst – Multi-Asset (FX, Commodities, Crypto)
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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