Ripple Price Prediction: Can Institutional Flows, Spot ETFs Surge Breach XRP Resistance?
Despite continued resistance overhead, XRP is stronger going into December thanks to ETF momentum and increasing market liquidity.
Quick overview
- XRP has shown resilience in December, recovering from a significant downturn in November and supported by ETF momentum and improved market liquidity.
- Despite reclaiming the $2 level, XRP faces persistent resistance around $2.30, making the current market conditions pivotal for future price movements.
- The launch of multiple XRP-linked ETFs has bolstered institutional interest, with over $660 million in net inflows since mid-November, indicating strong demand for XRP-based products.
- Overall, XRP's technical structure and growing adoption suggest a constructive outlook, but a breakout above key resistance levels is necessary for sustained upward momentum.
Live XRP/USD Chart
Despite continued resistance overhead, XRP is stronger going into December thanks to ETF momentum and increasing market liquidity.
XRP is gaining stability again after suffering a heavy downturn triggered by the broad market turmoil that gripped both digital assets and global equities in November. Although the token briefly slipped below the $2 threshold during the height of the selloff, it quickly reclaimed the level as liquidity conditions improved and sentiment began to recover. Even so, buyers have struggled to push XRP beyond the stubborn $2.30 resistance zone, leaving the market at a pivotal moment as institutional inflows accelerate.
XRP Recovers After Intense Selling Pressure
The selloff that swept across markets last month pulled XRP sharply lower, echoing the risk-off shift that rattled Bitcoin, altcoins, and stocks simultaneously. Panic-driven exits and stretched liquidity caused prices to break through several nearby supports, marking XRP’s deepest drawdown since late summer. The token had already been drifting lower since early October, falling toward $1.50 before stabilizing temporarily. By mid-November, nearly half its market value had been erased.
Yet despite heavy pressure, XRP’s decline lost momentum once it reached long-term technical support. Buyers stepped in aggressively during the final week of November, helping the token reclaim the $2 region. The rebound suggested that longer-term participants had not abandoned the asset and that structural demand remained intact even as volatility reached its highest levels in months.
Key Technical Levels Anchor the Market
XRP’s ability to remain above the 20-month Simple Moving Average (SMA) has been a major stabilizing factor. This long-term trend gauge has historically marked phases of accumulation during broader corrections, and once again it acted as a reliable floor throughout the recent pullback. Maintaining support there helped shift the momentum slightly back toward buyers.
Ripple Chart Monthly – The 20 SMA Is Holding As Support
The next major objective lies near $2.50, where sellers have repeatedly emerged. Beyond that, a full retest of the $3 psychological level remains the key breakout point. A clean break and sustained close above $3 would signal a significant bullish reversal on higher timeframes.
Ripple Chart Daily – The 50 SMA Stopping the Upside Momentum
On the contrary, XRP’s inability to reclaim the 50-day SMA (yellow) on the daily chart introduces some near-term downside risk. If the price rolls over again, a drop back toward $2—or even the deeper support zone near $1.50—could extend consolidation and delay any sustained rally.
ETF Tailwinds Strengthen Institutional Conviction
The surge in ETF-related developments has been one of the most important factors supporting XRP’s recovery narrative. Grayscale’s new XRP and Dogecoin products made their debut on the New York Stock Exchange on November 24, following confirmation from the SEC earlier in the week. Their approval marks a milestone for XRP’s integration into traditional financial markets. Remarkably, this is the fourth XRP-linked ETF to launch in just two weeks—a pace seldom seen for any altcoin.
Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted that Dogecoin trading volumes could surpass $11 million on launch day and suggested additional approvals—including a Grayscale Chainlink Trust—may follow shortly.
Meanwhile, Canary Capital’s XRP ETF set a new record for first-day activity among funds launched in 2025, generating $59 million in trading volume and closing its debut session with $250 million in assets under management. The strong showing underscores the depth of institutional appetite for XRP-based products.
Across multiple issuers, XRP spot ETFs have accumulated more than $660 million in net inflows since mid-November. This makes XRP the fastest-adopted non-BTC/ETH spot ETF category to date. The momentum is set to continue with 21Shares’ TOXR ETF launching on December 1, backed by an extraordinary $666.6 million in pre-launch commitments. The fund will hold physical XRP in Anchorage and BitGo custody and track the CME CF XRP-USD Reference Rate, mirroring the structure used for Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs.
Blockchain, Liquidity, and Whale Behavior Support the Trend
Behind the scenes, several developments are tightening XRP’s supply. ETF issuers have been accumulating tokens directly from exchanges, reducing available liquidity. Whale activity has surged as well, with more than 170 million XRP moved in recent days—most heading into cold storage rather than trading venues. This typically signals confidence among large holders.
Globally, adoption is expanding. Abu Dhabi’s approval of RLUSD for institutional use marks a major milestone for Ripple’s payment ecosystem. Ripple executives described the approval as validation of the company’s compliance-first approach, noting that RLUSD’s growing multi-billion-dollar footprint is attracting attention from major financial players seeking reliable USD-backed stablecoins.
At the same time, XRP remains the leading altcoin in the ISO 20022 category. CoinMarketCap’s introduction of an official ISO-compliant digital asset classification placed XRP at the top, reflecting its utility, integration through RippleNet, and adoption among financial institutions navigating the global transition to the ISO 20022 messaging standard.
A Constructive Outlook — If Buyers Break the Ceiling
Overall, the combination of resilient technical structure, accelerating ETF adoption, deepening institutional involvement, and expanding global utility creates a constructive backdrop for XRP. As long as the token holds above the $2 support region, the recent downturn may ultimately be seen not as a breakdown, but as groundwork for a new leg higher.
However, for that narrative to take hold, buyers must eventually force a breakout above current resistance levels—starting with $2.30 and ultimately the $3 barrier that defines XRP’s long-term trajectory.
Ripple Live Chart
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