WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) Near $59 Seeks Breakout as Symmetrical Triangle Tightens Ahead of Key Data

WTI crude oil hovered near $59.38 during Thursday’s session, with traders watching a narrowing technical pattern that often precedes...

Quick overview

  • WTI crude oil is currently trading around $59.38, with traders observing a symmetrical triangle pattern that indicates potential volatility ahead.
  • The price is constrained between a rising trendline and a descending trendline, with key resistance at $59.99 and support at $59.03.
  • Short-term momentum indicators suggest caution, as the market awaits a catalyst for direction, with the RSI showing slight bullishness.
  • A breakout above $59.99 could signal bullish continuation, while a failure to maintain the rising trendline may shift sentiment towards bearishness.

WTI crude oil hovered near $59.38 during Thursday’s session, with traders watching a narrowing technical pattern that often precedes a sharp directional move. The market has spent the past several days coiling inside a symmetrical triangle, reflecting uncertainty ahead of new US economic data and ongoing geopolitical noise.

Price Consolidation Within Triangle Pattern

The current structure shows price trapped between a rising trendline from November’s lows and a descending trendline from the late-November rebound. This tightening range signals a buildup in pressure, with recent candles showing smaller bodies and repeated upper-wick rejection near $59.99, a level where sellers have stepped in consistently.

On the downside, the nearest support rests at $59.03, with a deeper pivot at $58.39. A clean break beneath the rising trendline could send WTI toward $57.71, followed by $57.12, marking the next meaningful demand zones.

Momentum Indicators Show Caution

Short-term momentum remains muted. The 20-EMA at $59.15 has flattened, suggesting buyers are losing an edge as the market waits for a catalyst. Meanwhile, the RSI at 56 leans slightly bullish but doesn’t yet show the momentum needed to confirm a trend shift.

Key signals traders are watching:

  • Price reaction if $59.03 is retested
  • Whether RSI climbs above 60
  • A confirmed breakout above $59.99
  • Volume expansion during any triangle break
WTI Crude Oil Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
WTI Crude Oil Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) Breakout Levels to Watch

A decisive push above $59.99 would be the market’s first sign of bullish continuation. If confirmed, upside targets include $60.72, a prior reaction zone that could attract fresh buying interest.

Conversely, failure to hold the rising trendline may shift sentiment toward the bears. Until then, the triangle structure keeps WTI in a wait-and-see mode.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Lead Markets Analyst – Multi-Asset (FX, Commodities, Crypto)
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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