Pi Network Wobbles—Can $0.5524 Support Hold?

Pi Network (PI) has been stuck in a tight range since mid-April, bouncing between $0.59 and $0.67. But now, with the price slipping to $0.58

Quick overview

  • Pi Network's price has dropped to $0.58, raising concerns about a potential breakdown below its established range of $0.59 to $0.67.
  • Technical indicators, including a low RSI and tightening MACD, suggest weakening momentum and increased selling pressure.
  • The ongoing token dilution, with 21.4 million PI tokens unlocked in April and an expected 131 million monthly, adds to the downward pressure on the price.
  • Investors are closely monitoring for potential technical breakdowns or any significant updates from the Pi Foundation that could impact market sentiment.

Pi Network (PI) has been stuck in a tight range since mid-April, bouncing between $0.59 and $0.67. But now, with the price slipping to $0.58 — just below the lower edge of that range — worries are mounting about a potential breakdown.

Technical signals are flashing red, and lingering concerns over token dilution are adding even more weight to the pressure on Pi’s price.

Technical Indicators Point to Weakening Momentum

Several key indicators suggest Pi Network could be in for a rougher ride:

  • RSI at 38: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen well below the neutral 50 level and is edging toward oversold territory, signaling waning buying interest.

  • MACD Warning Signs: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing fatigue. While the MACD line is still slightly above the signal line, the gap is tightening, hinting at a possible bearish crossover — a shift that could accelerate selling pressure.

  • Price Pressures: With Pi trading at $0.58, the token is clinging to critical support. A clean break below could trigger a fresh wave of downside momentum.

Dilution Concerns Add to the Downward Pressure

Beyond technicals, Pi Network is grappling with a bigger challenge: token dilution. In April alone, around 21.4 million PI tokens — worth roughly $12.3 million — were unlocked. While this release was relatively modest, it’s just the start. Over the next year, the market expects an average of 131 million new PI tokens unlocked each month.

This steady flood of supply could continue to weigh heavily on Pi’s price, especially if investors grow more concerned about dilution outpacing demand. Unless the Pi Foundation steps in with a major update or a large-scale token burn (they currently hold close to 72 billion PI tokens), fears of further devaluation will likely persist.

  • 21.4 million PI unlocked in April (~$12.3 million worth)

  • Over 131 million PI expected to unlock monthly over the next year

  • Ongoing dilution risks unless major burns or updates occur

Pi Network Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
Pi Network Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

What’s Next for Pi Network?

For now, Pi Network is walking a tightrope. As long as the price stays within the current consolidation range, there’s still some hope for stabilization. But if it decisively breaks below $0.58, technical selling could pick up speed.

Investors will be watching closely for two key developments:

  • Technical Breakdowns or Rebounds: A move below $0.58 would be a clear warning sign, while a recovery could ease near-term pressure.

  • Foundation Updates: Any major announcement from the Pi Foundation — whether a burn plan, roadmap update, or network enhancement — could shift sentiment and breathe life back into the market.

At this stage, managing dilution risks and rebuilding investor confidence will be crucial for Pi Network’s long-term prospects.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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