Solana Price Outlook: SOL Pulls Back to $198 as Bulls Defend Key $195 Support

Solana (SOL) went above $207 last week, with record futures interest and increasing ecosystem liquidity.

Quick overview

  • Solana (SOL) surpassed $207 last week, driven by record futures interest and increased liquidity in its ecosystem.
  • Open interest in Solana futures reached $13.08 billion, indicating a strong risk-on appetite among traders.
  • Institutional adoption is rising, with Bullish raising $1.15 billion in their IPO, primarily using Solana for stablecoin minting.
  • Despite recent gains, Solana's price is testing key support levels, with potential bearish signals emerging from technical analysis.

Solana (SOL) went above $207 last week, with record futures interest and increasing ecosystem liquidity. CoinGlass shows open interest (OI) in Solana futures hit $13.08 billion on Monday, fresh capital and risk-on appetite from traders.

Liquidity is also growing across the ecosystem. Artemis Terminal shows DEX trading volume on Solana went from $2.6 billion on August 17 to $7.1 billion on Sunday, retail and institutional traders are both buying in.

Institutional Adoption Boosts Confidence

Institutional demand is getting stronger. Bullish (BLSH) raised $1.15 billion in their IPO, most of the associated stablecoins were minted on Solana – solidifying the blockchain in regulated markets.

Beyond capital markets, Solana’s global footprint is expanding. Solana will be featured at All-In Summit 2025 and Superteam UAE announced plans for “Solana City” a Dubai coworking hub for community and developer growth. Wyoming is also preparing to launch the first US state-issued stablecoin on Solana, a big milestone for blockchain in financial infrastructure.

Solana Technical Analysis: Pullback Tests Key Levels

Despite the strong background, Solana is looking tired. The token dropped to $198, below the $213 resistance zone. A shooting star candle formed on the 2-hour chart, often a reversal signal.

Price is testing the 50-SMA at $197, the Fib retracement at $195 (0.5) and $191 (0.618) are the key levels. A break below $195 could go to $185, holding this zone keeps the bullish momentum alive.

Solana Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
Solana Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

Momentum indicators are cautionary: RSI dropped from overbought to 41 and MACD is negative, but long lower wicks on recent candles suggest dip buyers are active between $195 and $191.

Trade Setup: Close above $199 could target $205 and $213, stop below $191. Break below $195 goes to $185-$177, short setups with risk above $200.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Lead Markets Analyst – Multi-Asset (FX, Commodities, Crypto)
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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