Silver Price Forecast: XAG Targets $56.24 After Holding $52 Support Zone

Silver is catching its breath after a strong multi-week rally, with the market now pausing at one of the most important support zones...

Quick overview

  • Silver is currently consolidating after a strong rally, with key support found between $52.25 and $52.00.
  • Recent price action shows indecision rather than a reversal, as indicated by the formation of spinning top candles.
  • The RSI has cooled to a healthy level near 59, suggesting that the trend structure remains intact without bearish divergence.
  • A break above immediate resistance at $54.42 could lead to further gains towards $56.24, while a buy setup is recommended within the support zone.

Silver is catching its breath after a strong multi-week rally, with the market now pausing at one of the most important support zones on the 4-hour chart. Price briefly dipped under the short-term rising trendline, but buyers were quick to step back in. A small rejection candle formed right on the trendline — a signal that bulls are still defending the broader uptrend despite the pullback.

The 20-EMA continues to rise underneath price, showing that momentum remains constructive as long as silver stays above the $52.25–$52.00 band. This area has now acted as support multiple times, reinforcing its role as the near-term line in the sand.

Pullback Shows Indecision, Not Reversal

The latest decline produced a cluster of indecision candles, including a small spinning top followed by a mild bullish wick. These patterns often appear when the market digests strong gains rather than prepares for a deep reversal.

The RSI cooled from overbought levels above 70 and now sits near 59 — a healthy reset without breaking trend structure. Importantly, there’s no bearish divergence, which reduces the odds of an immediate breakdown.

Immediate resistance remains at $54.42, where a shooting-star candle signaled overhead supply earlier this week. A break and close above this level could open the path toward $56.24, a key Fibonacci extension and the next major resistance zone.

Silver (XAG/USD) Trend Structure Still Intact

Silver Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
Silver Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

Silver continues to trade inside a rising channel. As long as the pattern of higher lows remains intact, the broader direction favors buyers. Failure to reclaim momentum, however, may keep price consolidating along the channel’s lower boundary before any new leg higher.

Silver (XAG/USD) Trade Setup

A simple continuation setup that follows the prevailing trend:

  • Buy Zone: $52.25–$52.00 (trendline + 20-EMA support)
  • Stop-Loss: Below $50.88 (previous higher low)
  • Take-Profit 1: $54.42
  • Take-Profit 2: $56.24

This setup helps new traders understand how strong trends usually behave: momentum pauses through shallow pullbacks, not sharp reversals. Anchoring trades around trend structure, dynamic support, and rejection wicks keeps risk defined and logic simple.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Lead Markets Analyst – Multi-Asset (FX, Commodities, Crypto)
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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