USD On The Ropes To Open The Trading Week

Losses against the Euro and Swiss franc have summed up the weekly open for the USD. Values have continued to drop in the wake of the Jackson Hole symposium, a bearish signal for those long the Greenback. At least in the early going of the U.S. session, the impact of Jerome Powell’s moderately dovish comments from last Friday is having a carry-over effect.

The CME FedWatch Index is reinforcing the conventional wisdom surrounding the U.S. FED’s coming rate hike schedule. At press time, there is a 96% chance of a September rate hike and a 64% chance of another in December. The real question is whether the move in December is assured or fleeting. It appears that traders are beginning to bet against a fourth rate hike for 2018.

USD Index Futures Technicals

In a live market update from over the weekend, I broke down the technical situation facing the USD Index. As of this morning, the key 78% Fibonacci support level is under heavy fire.

Here are the levels to watch in September USD Index futures for the remainder of the session:

• Resistance(1): Daily SMA, 95.250
• Resistance(2): Bollinger MP, 95.300
• Support(1): 78% August Range, 94.855

Overview: Throughout the Monday U.S. session, the bears have put sustained pressure on downside support at the 78% retracement of August’s range (94.855). If this level does not hold firm, look for a quick and decisive break to the August low (94.290).

It has been a rocky start to the week for the Greenback. Skepticism is flooding the market amid trade war fallout and the Jackson Hole summit. As we roll deeper into the trading week, it will be interesting to see if USD bulls begin to assert themselves.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More

Shain Vernier

US Analyst

Shain Vernier has spent over 7 years in the market as a professional futures, options and forex trader. He holds a B.Sc. in Business Finance from the University of Montana. Shain's career includes stretches with several proprietary trading firms in addition to actively managing his own accounts. Before joining FX Leaders, he worked as a market analyst and financial writer.

Related Articles

Crude Oil Eyes $63.82 Surge as Triangle Pattern Teases Breakout Move

20 hours ago

Save

Silver Eyes $33.23 Breakout as Triangle Pattern Signals a Volatile Move

20 hours ago

Save

Gold Price Eyes $3,228 Breakout as Moody’s Downgrade and Trump Tariffs Hit

20 hours ago

Save

Comments

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.