The EUR/USD To Watch German ZEW - Forex News by FX Leaders
The Euro is Struggling at 1.1300

The EUR/USD To Watch German ZEW

Posted Tuesday, April 16, 2019 by
Rowan Crosby • 2 min read

As we spoke about yesterday, the EUR/USD couldn’t quite maintain its momentum and has failed to hold the 1.1300 level.

The EUR/USD might well have reason for some concern as technically it does appear to start looking a little weak on the charts. The first reason being that the 1.1300 couldn’t hold. When a major level can’t hold, it is weak. Conversely, if it was able to bounce off it and the bid stay strong, that is a sign of buying interest.

Secondly, it looks like price as made a bit of a double top, whereby it couldn’t breech the prior higher. When price can’t make it back to the high and posts a lower high, that too is a sign of weakness.

Of course, we have only just ticked underneath 1.1300, so we can’t put too much emphasis on these factors too early. But it does look bearish, given that price was already overextended to the upside.

Today the main economic data release of interest will be ZEW Economic Sentiment for both Germany predominantly and also the Eurozone. This is really just a measure of investor confidence and over the last 12 months, unsurprisingly this has been lurking in negative territory.

For whatever reason, things do appear to be on the improve and this time around we are looking at a forecast of 0.8 which is both positive and improving on the prior reading of -3.6.

Outside of that, there isn’t all that much on the schedule, but given the release is a few hours after the real European open, it can stall the price action at times. That said I don’t think it is a huge release, despite many considering it a top-tier number.

Technical Levels

The 1.1300 level as mentioned is really our key focus. If it can hold as support then we might bounce again, but currently, it has really not offered much by way of buying interest.

SupportResistance
1.12941.1300
1.12501.1323
1.12231.1350
EUR/USD
EUR/USD – 240min.
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About the author

Rowan Crosby // Asia-Pacific Analyst
Rowan Crosby is a professional futures trader from Sydney, Australia. Rowan has extensive experience trading commodities, bonds and equity futures in the Asian, European and US markets. Rowan holds a Bachelor of Finance and Economics degree and is focused heavily on Investment Finance and Quantitative Analysis.
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