Crude Oil Enters Overbought Region – Brace for Retacement - Forex News by FX Leaders

Crude Oil Enters Overbought Region – Brace for Retacement

Posted Wednesday, July 31, 2019 by
Arslan Butt • 1 min read

Today during the early Asian session, WTI crude oil prices increased due to the release of weekly data that showed a drop in US crude oil inventories. A day before, the US crude oil surged over 0.7% to trade at $58.45.

WTI crude oil inventories declined by six million barrels during this week ended July 26 to 443 barrels, according to the forecast decrease of 2.6 million barrels, the report showed from the American Petroleum Institute.

One of the reasons behind the surge in prices is that traders await the expected rate cuts for the first time by the Federal Reserve in over 10 years. Federal Reserve is meeting today and is expected to cut its federal reserves rate cut to 2% to 2.25% on Wednesday. The rate is presently at 2.5%.

Dollar shares a negative correlation with commodities which is why weaker dollar sentiments are also supporting crude oil prices.

Support Resistance
55.16 57.46
54.11 58.7
51.82 61
Key Trading Level: 56.41

We may notice a slight drop in crude oil prices as investors are likely to sell off the overbought crude oil ahead of FOMC and Fed rate decision today. Therefore, I will be looking to stay bearish below 58.50 to target 58 and 57.75 today.

Alternatively, buying positions are suggested only above 58.55 today.

Good luck!

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About the author

Arslan Butt // Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt is our Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst. Arslan is a professional market analyst and day trader. He holds an MBA in Behavioral Finance and is working towards his Ph.D. Before joining FX Leaders Arslan served as a senior analyst in a major brokerage firm. Arslan is also an experienced instructor and public speaker.
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