Gold Steady at $1,774 Ahead of FOMC Member Speeches  - Forex News by FX Leaders
Gold Price Forecast

Gold Steady at $1,774 Ahead of FOMC Member Speeches 

Posted Tuesday, October 19, 2021 by
Arslan Butt • 2 min read

Gold prices ended the day at $1768.30, with a high of $1797.70 and a low of $1765.10. GOLD prices retreated on Friday after rising continuously for three consecutive days. The reversal in gold prices was due to increased US Treasury yields and improved retail sales data from the US.

The US Dollar Index, which measures the greenback’s value against the basket of six major currencies, extended its decline, and reached 93.85, dropping for the third consecutive session. Moreover, the Treasury yields in the United States rose to 1.57% on Friday, recovering from a more than one-week low hit on Thursday, putting additional pressure on gold prices.

Gold Live Rate

Quick economic events outlook

At 17:30 GMT, Core Retail Sales in September increased to 0.8%, exceeding the forecast 0.5%, supporting the US dollar while weighing on gold. The retail sales rose to 0.7% against the anticipated-0.2% and supported the US dollar, dragging gold prices to the downside. Furthermore, the Empire State Manufacturing Index dropped to 19.8 against the predicted 24.9 and weighed on the US dollar. Hence, it caused further downside in gold prices.

The import prices declined by 0.4% against the expected 0.6% and weighed on the US dollar, limiting yellow metal prices. At 19:00 GMT, the Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment fell to 71.4 against the projected 73.5 and weighed the US dollar. Business inventories fell by 0.6% instead of the expected 0.7%, bolstering the US dollar. It added to the gains in precious metal prices. The Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations rose in October to 4.8% against the previous 4.6%. 

Safe-haven gold and US Govt bonds

Gold is considered an inflation hedge, it also competes with the dollar for safe-haven status, as diminished central bank stimulus and interest rate hikes push government bond yields higher, putting pressure on non-yielding bullion. Following a significant uptick in US consumer prices, market players are widely expecting the Fed to begin tapering asset purchases shortly.

Meanwhile, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey delivered a new signal that the British central bank is preparing to hike interest rates for the first time since the outbreak of the coronavirus crisis, as inflationary pressures rise.

XAU/USD

Gold surge to $1,775 – The technical analysis supports buying

On Tuesday, the precious metal, gold, trades with a bullish bias at the 1,762 level. The yellow metal has violated a downward trendline at the 1,770 level in the four-hour timeframe. The closing of candles above the 1,770 level is likely to drive strong buying in gold. On the downside, gold is likely to find immediate support at the 1,769 level, while a break below that level could extend the selling trend until the next support level of 1,762.

Gold Price Forecast

Gold Daily Technical Levels

Support Resistance

1759.14 1771.19

1753.72 1777.82

1747.09 1783.24

Pivot point: 1765.77

Conversely, a breakout at the 1,775 resistance level is likely to expose gold prices towards the next resistance level of 1,777. On the higher side, additional resistance could be found at the 1,83 level. Let’s consider staying bullish above the 1,765 level today and vice versa. Good luck!

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