EUR/USD to Remain Weak As Economic Confidence Falls in Europe

The economic situation is worsening every day in Europe as prices keep increasing while an energy crisis is expected in winter


The euro area retail sales rose in July but was slightly weaker than estimated, with the details showing that the volume of retail trade increased by 0.4% for automotive fuels and by 0.1% for food, drinks and tobacco, while it decreased by 0.4% for non-food products. This indicates that people are cutting back on other products apart from food, which will add further to the economic problems in the months ahead.

Eurozone July Retail Sales Report

  • July retail sales MoM +0.3% vs +0.4% expected
  • June sales were -1.2%; revised to -1.0%
  • Retail sales -0.9% YoY vs -0.7% expected
  • Prior sales YoY were -3.7%; revised to -3.2%

 

Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence

  • September Sentix investor confidence -31.8 points vs -27.5 expected
  • August investor confidence was -25.2 points

Investor morale continues to weaken in the Eurozone to its lowest since May 2020 as recession risks loom large over the region heading into the winter months. The expectations index also tumbled from -33.8 previously to -37.0 – its lowest since December 2008.

Sentix notes that:

“Never before in more than 20 years of history, with the exception of the financial crisis in 2008, have investors’ assessments of the euro area economy been so weak – and at the same time expectations have been so low.”

EUR/USD Live Chart

EUR/USD
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Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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