XRP Surges 4.5% to $1.48 as On-Chain Transactions Triple: Bulls Eye $1.50 Breakout

Quick overview

As of this writing, XRP XRP/USD is trading at $1.48, up 4.5% over the previous day, surpassing much of the larger cryptocurrency market, which saw a 3.28% increase in Bitcoin BTC/USD and a 3.38% increase in overall market capitalization. The increasing amount of intrinsic data that suggests XRP’s price may be undervaluing its actual network value sets this move apart, even though the surge is partially a beta play on overall market strength.

XRP’s most recent surge is occurring against a backdrop of record on-chain activity, which makes it more than just a momentum trade, in contrast to many cryptocurrency pumps that are solely motivated by speculation.

XRP Ledger Hits Near-3 Million Daily Transactions: A Near-Tripling in One Year

The sheer volume of activity on the XRP Ledger is the most remarkable piece of information supporting XRP’s present velocity. According to data released by Evernorth, the biggest public XRP treasury firm, daily transactions have nearly tripled in less than a year, from over 1 million per day in mid-2025 to about 3 million as of this week.

In January 2026, monthly average transactions surpassed one million, while individual daily peaks in March had now surpassed three million. For comparison, daily averages increased from 800,000 in May 2025 to over 1.3 million in February 2026, the greatest month in the studied window.

According to RWA Analytics, the value of tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) on the network increased by 920% over a three-month period to $1.14 billion, surpassing raw transaction counts. This indicates a significant increase in institutional and business interest in utilizing the XRP Ledger as a layer for tokenization and settlement.

XRP/USD Technical Breakout Confirmed by Volume, But Resistance Looms at $1.49–$1.51

Technically speaking, XRP has moved significantly from weeks of consolidation by breaking over its 30-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $1.43. A 102% increase in 24-hour trading volume to $2.55 billion validates the advance, suggesting real buyer activity as opposed to a low-liquidity drift higher.

The hourly MACD is accelerating in bullish territory, the hourly RSI remains above 50, and the 14-day RSI is at 53.96, indicating positive momentum without being overbought.

Important levels to keep an eye on include the immediate ceiling, which is represented by the 50-day simple moving average at $1.49 and the 38.2% Fibonacci resistance at $1.51. The door opens to $1.5250–$1.57 with a clear closure over $1.51. The first line of defense on the downside is the 50% Fibonacci retracement at $1.4325, with crucial support around $1.42 and $1.41. A decline toward $1.36 is possible if the price closes below $1.42.

XRP ETF Flows, Regulatory Clarity, and the Evernorth Effect

Institutional events are also influencing the longer-term bull case for XRP. James Seyffart, a Bloomberg analyst, has observed consistent ETF inflows into XRP-related products. Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale Investments, has identified XRP as a likely benefactor and highlighted the CLARITY Act’s possible enactment as a trigger for significant repricing across digital assets.

Another level of structural demand is added by Evernorth, which was valued at $1 billion in October 2025 in order to amass XRP as a treasury reserve asset. In order to compound its XRP holdings over time, Evernorth engages in institutional lending and DeFi activities, which are modeled after Strategy’s Bitcoin treasury method.

XRP Price Prediction: Cautiously Bullish — $1.57 in Sight if $1.51 Falls

One crucial factor will determine the near-term outlook: can XRP turn utility-driven sentiment into a durable technical breakout over the resistance range of $1.49 to $1.51?

Targets of $1.5250, $1.5320, and eventually $1.57 seem feasible in a matter of days if bulls maintain the $1.47 support and break through $1.51. However, if $1.48–$1.50 is not cleared, the price may retrace to $1.43 or below. The path of least resistance seems upward because institutional momentum is growing and on-chain fundamentals are at all-time highs. However, patience around the resistance cluster will be crucial.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More

Arslan Butt

Lead Markets Analyst – Multi-Asset (FX, Commodities, Crypto)

Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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