Markets on Friday: Tariffs Return as We Await NFP

Markets have certainly been knocked around this week and on Thursday it was more of the same.

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USD Stalls for Now

Markets have certainly been knocked around this week and on Thursday it was more of the same.

In Europe instead of facing a snap election, we saw some reshuffling and a new finance minister. This helped stem the bleeding in the EUR/USD to a degree but there was really not much that can help sentiment in the Eurozone at the moment.

Importantly, we did see a big beat in Eurozone CPI, which is a massive boost for the ECB and this might be something to watch a bit more closely as we head into the next policy meeting. With all the other headlines around today, this one was swept under the rug a little bit.

The US announced tariffs against the EU, Canada and Mexico, which means that we will be seeing a response from each of those countries. The markets took the news relatively well which was a surprise really.

Today all the attention will be on the US session and US employment data. However, the fact that there are so many headlines floating around, might mean todayโ€™s data might very well get overshadowed. Again keep an eye on wage growth as its what the experts are looking for more so than the headline number.

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USD Hits Resistance

Our resistance area of 95.00, has held up and we moved back down below the 93.95-94.00 support level.

We moved as low as 93.75, which was a near term support level and then we saw a bounce.

Iโ€™m not expecting the USD to fall away too sharply and we are really around a level I would consider buying. As a general rule, I donโ€™t want to be a buyer headed into a big number such as US employment. So I might let this one play out today and see what happens as the US session opens up.

US Dollar Index (DXY)
US Dollar Index (DXY) โ€“ 240 min Chart.

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Dime Levov
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