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The USD Is Taking A Beating-Overnight Preview (EUR/USD)

Posted Thursday, December 28, 2017 by
Shain Vernier • 2 min read

It has been a solid U.S. session for the EUR/USD, as bulls have taken complete control. Throughout the day Euro backers have entered the market in force driving price north over 60 pips. Is the EUR/USD to challenge the 1.2000 level by Friday’s close?

In addition to the Euro, the USD has struggled against many of the majors. Formidable losses against the CAD, CHF, JPY, and AUD have marked a brutal session for the greenback. Here are the key overnight economic events that may spark a recovery:

Region                       Event

Australia                    Private Sector Credit

Eurozone                   Consumer Confidence, Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices

Austria                       Producer Price Index

EUR/USD Technicals

In a Wednesday update, the November high of 1.1960 was outlined as a key level of resistance. As of this writing, it is being repeatedly tested.

EUR/USD
EUR/USD, Daily Chart

Holiday weeks are typically defined by unpredictable price action and limited participation. By looking at the EUR/USD daily chart, you can see both of these characteristics on display; tight choppy markets followed by an unforeseen directional move. This type of market dynamic is difficult to trade efficiently.

If the Euro continues its route of the greenback, topside resistance will come into play very shortly:

  • Resistance(1): November high, 1.1960
  • Resistance(2): Key psyche level, 1.2000
  • Resistance(3): 2017’s high, 1.2091

Overview: These levels are extremely public, as there are no unique technical indicators acting as their basis. Institutional money appears to be driving this market, which increases the likelihood of short position stop outs being challenged at each level. Be on the lookout for bolstered participation around the defined resistance areas.

Tomorrow marks the close to the trading week and last full day of trading of the year. With so little time left on 2017’s clock anything is possible. It is a good idea to manage risk aggressively and buckle up!

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