Cardano Price Prediction: $970M Bets Point to ADA Rally Toward $0.685

Cardano (ADA) is back on the move, currently at $0.625 after breaking out of the falling wedge. This is in line with the broader crypto...

Quick overview

  • Cardano (ADA) is currently trading at $0.625 after breaking out of a falling wedge, aligning with a bullish sentiment in the crypto market.
  • Open interest in Cardano has surged by 13.66% in the last 24 hours, indicating increased capital inflow and confidence from traders.
  • The technical setup remains bullish, with ADA above the 50-SMA and potential resistance at $0.640, which could lead to further price increases.
  • A break above $0.640 with volume would confirm a continuation setup, while a pullback to $0.608 could offer a lower risk re-entry opportunity.

Cardano (ADA) is back on the move, currently at $0.625 after breaking out of the falling wedge. This is in line with the broader crypto market sentiment which is bullish after Bitcoin reached all-time highs.

On-chain data and derivatives flow shows ADA isn’t just riding the wave, it’s attracting new capital. According to CoinGlass, open interest in Cardano has increased 13.66% in the last 24 hours to $970.59 million.

What’s interesting here is not just the volume but the direction: of the $4.10 million liquidated, $3.8 million were short positions, meaning forced exits as price momentum flipped bullish.

Derivatives Metrics:

  • Open Interest: $970.59M (+13.66%)
  • Liquidations: $4.10M (mostly short)
  • Long-to-Short Ratio: 1.03 (bullish)

This positioning shows growing confidence from both retail and institutional traders and may be fueling the next leg up.

Cardano (ADA/USD) Technical Setup Remains Bullish Above $0.608

The 4H chart shows ADA inside a rising parallel channel and the bullish structure is intact. Price has reclaimed the 50-SMA ($0.586) and is above it—often a sign of sustained momentum.

ADA is consolidating just below $0.640, a resistance level that if broken could trigger a move to the next zone of interest at $0.685. Candlestick behavior has shown strong green candles with minimal upper wicks—signs of strong buying.

Cardano (ADA/USD) Technicals:

  • Price above 50-SMA and above $0.608
  • RSI near 72, overbought
  • Channel resistance targets: $0.654, then $0.685

So far no reversal patterns like shooting star or bearish engulfing candle—only strength. But overbought RSI means a small pullback can’t be ruled out before continuation.

Cardano Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
Cardano Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

Cardano (ADA/USD) Trade Setup: Breakout or Retest

This is a clean continuation setup with strong trend support.

Primary Long Setup

  • Entry: Break and close above $0.640 (4H candle body)
  • Stop-loss: Below $0.608
  • Target 1: $0.654
  • Target 2: $0.685

A break above $0.640 with volume would be the confirmation. Wait for a strong green candle before entry.

Cardano Retest

If price pulls back and forms a hammer or bullish engulfing at $0.608, that would be a lower risk re-entry.

In my experience when ADA hugs the top of a rising channel and stays above 50-SMA and prior resistance levels, the next move is usually another leg up—unless rejected by a long upper wick and volume divergence.

A break below $0.586 would be the setup invalidation and bulls are losing steam.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Lead Markets Analyst – Multi-Asset (FX, Commodities, Crypto)
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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