Microsoft: MSFT Set to Crash Below $400 as OpenAI Ends Revenue Share Payments

Microsoft (MSFT) shares decreased on Monday as the tech giant and OpenAI (OPENAI) announced that their partnership

Microsoft Under Scrutiny as Costs Rise and Competition Intensifies

Quick overview

  • Microsoft shares fell as the company announced a non-exclusive partnership with OpenAI, leading to concerns about future growth.
  • Analysts are mixed on AI spending and competition, with some viewing the stock dip as a potential buying opportunity.
  • The amended agreement allows OpenAI to explore other cloud providers while Microsoft remains its main cloud partner.
  • OpenAI will continue to pay Microsoft revenue shares through 2030, despite the removal of a revenue share for OpenAI.

Microsoft (MSFT) shares decreased on Monday as the tech giant and OpenAI (OPENAI) announced that their partnership has continued to develop and that OpenAI’s license will become non-exclusive. Microsoft stated on its website, ”

Microsoft Slides on Buyout Plan as AI Costs and Margins Stay in Focus

Miss/soft guidance on Copilot slowdown, higher-for-longer CapEx, or AI returns → another leg down, possibly testing $400 or lower (support levels discussed around there). This risk is highlighted in some Reddit and analyst chatter following the stock’s decline below $400 per share.
MSFT stock has faced pressure in 2026 (down significantly YTD from highs), with analysts mixed on AI spending, competition, and growth outlook. Some see the dip as a buying opportunity.

Today, we are announcing an amended agreement to simplify our partnership and the way we work together, grounded in flexibility, certainty, and a focus on delivering the benefits of AI broadly.

The amended agreement’s increased predictability enhances our combined capacity to develop and run AI platforms at scale while giving both businesses the freedom to explore new prospects. Microsoft will be OpenAI’s main cloud partner under the revised agreement, and OpenAI products will launch first on Azure.

A change has been made, though, stating that OpenAI may look elsewhere if Microsoft “cannot and chooses not to support the necessary capabilities.” Julian Lin is the head of the Best of Breed Growth Stock investing group.

Additionally, OpenAI can offer all of its products to clients via any cloud provider, including Amazon Web Services (AMZN). Additionally, Microsoft will have a non-exclusive license to use OpenAI’s intellectual property for its models and products through 2032.

Amazon shares lost 0.8 percent in late morning trading, giving up earlier gains. As part of the revised agreement, Microsoft will no longer give OpenAI a revenue share; however, OpenAI will continue to pay Microsoft revenue shares through 2030.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Olumide Adesina
Financial Market Writer
Olumide Adesina is a French-born Nigerian financial writer. He tracks the financial markets with over 15 years of working experience in investment trading.

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