Stockpiling Effect: British Factory Orders Miss Expectations

Monthly order book balance in the UK dropped from -5 to -10 in April 2019, hitting the lowest level since October 2016.


According to data released by the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), the monthly order book balance in the UK dropped from -5 to -10 in April 2019, hitting the lowest level since October 2016.

After the stockpiling ahead of Brexit that drove factory orders higher previously, this figure is expected to drag down the manufacturing sector in Q2 2019. There are also expectations that the overall British economy could take a hit in Q2 2019.

The Bank of England had forecast a QoQ growth of 0.2% during this time period, less than half the QoQ growth rate registered in Q1 2019. The OECD, in contrast, remains optimistic and has raised Britain’s growth forecast for 2019 from 0.8% to 1.2% due to the extension of Brexit deadline to October 31.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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