Gold Prices Soar: Factors Influencing the Surge & The Technical Overview
Arslan Butt•Monday, September 4, 2023•2 min read
GOLD commences the week with renewed vigor, ascending past the $1,945 mark during the Asian trading window. Maintaining proximity to a one-month zenith, between $1,952-$1,953, reached on Friday, the yellow metal demonstrates a commendable resurgence from its five-month low of approximately $1,885 hit in August.
Last Friday’s mixed U.S. jobs report has bolstered the hypothesis that the Federal Reserve will refrain from modifying interest rates in their forthcoming September policy meeting. This stance is advantageous for non-yielding assets like GOLD . Specifically, the National Payroll (NFP) figures revealed that the U.S. economy incorporated 187K jobs in August, surpassing market predictions. Nonetheless, there were downward revisions for prior months and a slight uptick in the unemployment rate. This nuanced labor market data suggests that the Federal Reserve’s maneuverability regarding rate hikes might be limited.
Despite its recent robust performance, the U.S. Dollar has been unable to capitalize on this momentum, which in turn is reinforcing gold’s position. A subdued dollar typically augments the appeal of dollar-pegged commodities, such as GOLD . Nevertheless, the dollar’s descent is tempered by market anticipations of another 25 basis point rate increase by year-end, keeping U.S. Treasury bond yields in an elevated state. Concurrently, buoyancy in equity markets could potentially limit gold’s gains.

Evolving sentiment indicates that the Fed might be concluding its rate-increase trajectory. Coupled with expectations of China’s proactive economic bolstering measures, investor confidence is robust. Recent announcements from China’s National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) regarding strengthening the private sector economy underscore this sentiment. Amidst a U.S. bank holiday and the absence of pivotal economic data, gold’s rally might be momentarily tempered.
Technical Overview of Gold:
GOLD is currently challenging a four-month-old declining resistance, hovering around $1,950, while concurrently maintaining consistent trade above key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).
Positive indicators on the MACD, combined with a favorable RSI, make a compelling case for gold’s potential to breach immediate resistance barriers. Upon doing so, it could swiftly approach a resistance level of roughly $1,985, with an eye on the significant $2,000 milestone.
On the downside, the amalgamation of the 100 and 50 EMA, presently at about $1,930, establishes a foundational support for GOLD . Should gold recede below this, the conjunction of the 200-EMA and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, around $1,908, will be the next barrier, followed closely by the $1,900 mark. The preceding monthly low of approximately $1,885 remains a pivotal defensive point for the yellow metal.
Check out our free forex signals
Follow the top economic events on FX Leaders economic calendar
Trade better, discover more Forex Trading Strategies
Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
Related Articles
Comments
0
0
votes
Article Rating
Subscribe
Login
Please login to comment
0 Comments
Oldest
Newest
Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Sidebar rates
Related Posts
XM
Best Forex Brokers
