Gold Price Reverses Down After Failing at MAs, As US Services Jump

Gold gained more than $20 today after the $100 late last week, but buyers couldn’t break above MAs and the price is reversing lower now, being helped by the positive US services PMI reading, which showed a jump in December.

Gold reversing $15 lower after the us services PMI

As traders awaited the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, with widespread anticipation of a 25 basis point cut, gold prices saw a notable rebound late last week after failing to breach the November resistance level near $2,725. Today, XAU showed modest gains during the Asian and European sessions.

While a quarter-point rate cut is widely expected at Wednesday’s meeting, uncertainty remains about whether the Fed will signal a “hawkish cut.” Such a move could imply rates staying unchanged until January to assess inflation trends and economic strength, which would likely strengthen the US dollar and pressure gold prices downward.

Gold Chart H4 – The 100 SMA Rejected the PriceChart XAUUSD, H4, 2024.12.16 17:03 UTC, MetaQuotes Ltd., MetaTrader 5, Demo

From a technical perspective, the H4 chart reveals that XAU/USD has returned to trading within the range defined by two moving averages. Gold prices reversed lower after failing to break above the 100-day SMA, currently around $2,665, following strong US Services PMI data indicating continued growth in this sector. XAU dipped to $2,648.50, which now acts as immediate support. If this level is breached, further declines could target supports at $2,625 and $2,590, potentially accelerating the downward momentum.

US Services and Manufacturing PMI Data for DecemberPMIs

  • US S&P December Services PMI:
    • Recorded at 58.5 points, above expectations of 55.7 (38-month high).
    • November figure was 56.1 points.
  • US Composite PMI for December:
    • Rose to 56.6 points, surpassing November’s 54.9 (33-month high).
  • US Manufacturing PMI:
    • Declined to 48.3 points, down from 49.7 in November (3-month low).
  • Inflation Insights:
    • Overall Price Pressures: Continued to ease.
    • Manufacturing Input Costs: Increased sharply to 2-year highs.
    • Service Sector Inflation: Dropped to a 4.5-year low.
    • Supplier Delivery Times: Started lengthening again.

Gold Chart Live

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Skerdian Meta
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Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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