Daily Crypto Signals: Bitcoin Rally Stalls Amid Profit Taking, XRP Volatility Hits Multi-Year Lows

Quick overview

Short-term Bitcoin BTC/USD holders offloaded nearly 61,000 BTC worth $4.5 billion during this week’s price surge toward $76,000, stalling the rally just short of a breakout. Meanwhile, XRP’s XRP/USD 30-day realized volatility has collapsed to its lowest level since 2024, setting the stage for a potentially sharp directional move.

Crypto Market Developments

There was a lot of regulatory tension, political debate, and market uncertainty in the crypto world this week. Lawmakers criticized CFTC Chair Michael Selig after he said he would continue to create rules for digital assets and prediction markets even though he was the only commissioner at the agency. Critics claim this weakens bipartisan oversight. In France, government officials used Paris Blockchain Week to propose additional safety measures for people who own cryptocurrencies.

This was in response to a worrying rise in “wrench attacks” and kidnappings, such as the kidnapping of a crypto entrepreneur’s wife and young child in Burgundy earlier this week. And in the most politically charged controversy of the week, the Trump family’s World Liberty Financial faced a lot of criticism, even from its biggest investor, Justin Sun, over a plan that would lock up early investor tokens for up to four years, or indefinitely for those who don’t agree to the new terms.

Bitcoin Rally Meets Resistance at $76,000

This week, Bitcoin’s rebound rally hit a wall, and on-chain data points to a clear cause: short-term holders (STHs), or investors who bought BTC in the last 155 days, took advantage of the price rise toward $76,000 to make a profit. CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn said that STH exchange inflows reached 61,000 BTC in 24 hours, which is over $4.5 billion at current pricing. That number is the greatest single-day deposit volume from this group since the panic-driven selloff in February, but this time it seems to be because people want to make money, not because they are afraid.

The bigger picture of exchange inflows tells a similar pattern. At the height of the surge, total Bitcoin exchange inflows reached 11,000 BTC per hour. This was the biggest hourly rate since December 2025 and was even higher than the spike that happened during this year’s previous price drop. The constant selling pressure was enough to stop the positive momentum, and since then, Bitcoin’s price has stopped moving up significantly. If new demand comes in to buy what the short-term holders have been selling, the market will either consolidate and try to go higher, or the cumulative sell-side pressure will push it into a deeper downturn.

XRP Volatility Dips to Multi-Year Lows

XRP is trading slightly above $1.40, but the most interesting thing about it right now isn’t the price—it’s the quiet. The Realized Volatility Index for the cryptocurrency on Binance has decreased to about 0.42, its lowest level since 2024. XRP’s price fluctuations in both directions that were so common in 2025 have been getting smaller and smaller since the beginning of this year. Now, the asset is stuck in one of its smallest trading ranges in more than a year. Analysts say that the current situation is a transient balance: neither buyers nor sellers are in charge, and neither party is eager to make a big commitment until something important happens.

That kind of pressure doesn’t last long. In crypto markets, as volatility gets tighter, it usually means that a big move is coming. The narrower the range, the bigger the reaction when something breaks the standoff. XRP is still in a bearish structure, trading below its 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages after reaching a peak above $3.00 in the middle of 2025 and a capitulation event in early February. The $1.30 level has been in high demand and is acting as a near-term floor. A sustained move above $1.50 would be the first sign of a real rebound. XRP is still in the waiting room, as one expert described it, until one of those levels breaks. The data can’t yet predict which door will open next.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More

Arslan Butt

Lead Markets Analyst – Multi-Asset (FX, Commodities, Crypto)

Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics. His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker. His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.

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