Bitcoin Forecast: Hawkish Fed Risks $62.5K Breakdown & $60K Liquidation Wave
Bitcoin is hovering near $64,000, recovering from a recent dip toward $62,800 triggered by a broader tech sector sell-off.
Live BTC/USD Chart
Bitcoin is hovering near $64,000, recovering from a recent dip toward $62,800 triggered by a broader tech sector sell-off. Traders are holding back from taking major directional bets as they await the outcome of the US Federal Reserve (FOMC) interest rate decision.

Current Range: Trading around $63,800 – $64,200, up ~1% over the past 24 hours. While semiconductor and AI stocks faced heavy liquidation earlier this week, Bitcoin showed resilience, holding above key moving averages.
Recent spot Bitcoin ETF outflows (~$465M last week) and over $600M in crypto-wide liquidations have kept institutional conviction cautious in the near term.
Institutional Support vs. Macro Headwinds: Spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to see consistent net inflows. However, gains are currently capped by elevated bond yields, macroeconomic uncertainty around central bank interest rate policy, and geopolitical tensions.
Accumulation remains concentrated among larger institutional wallets (1 000–10 000 BTC). Exchange inflows have dropped compared to Q2 highs, reducing immediate sell pressure.
Fed Rate Signal: A dovish stance or rate cut hint from the Federal Reserve could ignite a broader risk-on rally across digital assets. Institutional Accumulation: Despite short-term ETF outflows, long-term institutional holder metrics show steady accumulation during pullbacks.
Hawkish Macro Surprise: A stricter Fed stance on inflation could push BTC below $62,500, triggering cascading liquidations down toward $60,000. ETF Outflow Pressure: Sustained net outflows from spot ETFs could cap upside momentum through late summer.
- Check out our free forex signals
- Follow the top economic events on FX Leaders economic calendar
- Trade better, discover more Forex Trading Strategies
- Open a FREE Trading Account
- Read our latest reviews on: Avatrade, Exness, HFM and XM
