Gold Turns Bearish at the 100 SMA After Last Week’s Retrace Higher

Gold was retracing higher last week after completing the Elliott Wave Pattern, but now the pullback is complete

Now Gold is reversing back down

Gold turned bearish at the middle of February after trading on a bullish trend since last summer. Since then we have seen three bearish waves on the daily chart and two smaller retracing bullish waves, so it looks like an Elliott Wave Pattern has unfolded in the last two months.

That pattern ended last week at the 100 SMA on the daily chart and Gold retraced higher during most of last week. But the retrace is now complete on the H4 time-frame and the stochastic indicator is now turning down from overbought levels. The retrace ended at the 100 SMA (green) on this chart.

This moving average has provided resistance and support before, so it is now working as resistance again. Besides that, the price formed an upside-down hammer candlestick which is a reversing signal after the bullish retrace.

Now the price is reversing down again, so the upside should be over for Gold and the buyers should be in charge for some time. If you have sold or are selling Gold now, make sure to place the stop above the 100 smooth MA (red).

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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