AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Australian Dollar Gains Momentum Amidst Chinese Support and Positive Earnings
Richard Adrian • 2 min read
AUD/USD currency pair technical breakdown
The AUD/USD currency pair has been undergoing interesting shifts in the forex market, influenced by a combination of macroeconomic factors, positive corporate earnings, and technical indicators. Chinese leaders offering support to the Australian economy, coupled with/U favourable earnings reports from GM, GE, and 3M, have sparked renewed interest in the Australian Dollar. In this technical analysis, we will explore how these developments, along with other key indicators, impact the AUD/USD exchange rate.
Market Support and Positive Earnings Propel AUD/USD Reversal
Amidst concerns about the weakening Australian economy, a lifeline was extended by Chinese leaders, effectively supporting the Australian Dollar. This gesture triggered a reversal against the USD, as the AUD/USD exchange rate surged. Furthermore, the impressive Q2 earnings reported by global giants GM, GE, and 3M instilled investor confidence, leading to increased demand for the Australian Dollar as a risk-on commodity currency.
Inflation Figures and Interest Rate Projections
Market participants are eagerly anticipating the release of Australia’s quarterly inflation figures on July 26. These figures are expected to play a crucial role in shaping traders’ projections of future interest rate movements in the country. Positive inflation data may reinforce the support for the Australian Dollar, as investors adjust their expectations regarding monetary policy.
Technical Indicators and Sentiment Analysis
The current AUD/USD currency pair trading at 0.67676 indicates a market in flux, with recent price fluctuations reflecting heightened volatility. The 2-week high at 0.6896 marks a significant level of resistance, while the 2-week price low/floor at 0.67137 serves as an essential support level. Trading below the 200-exponential moving average at 0.67508 suggests short-term weakness in the Australian Dollar.
A closer look at the technical indicators reveals a mixed sentiment. The number of buy signals outweighs the sell signals, with oscillators leaning towards a neutral outlook. The overall bullish sentiment is supported by a sideways trend on both long and medium-term charts. However, a decisive breach of the key level at 0.6458, established in June, could shift the sentiment in favour of bears.
AUD/USD currency pair Potential for Bullish Bias
The weekly chart’s key hurdle at 0.7158, established in February 2023, holds immense significance for traders. A successful vault over this level may alter the outlook to one that is more bullishly biased. In such a scenario, the Australian Dollar could gain momentum, extending its upward trajectory against the USD.
The AUD/USD technical analysis reveals a complex and dynamic market influenced by a confluence of factors. Chinese support for the Australian economy, positive corporate earnings, and inflation data are driving short-term fluctuations. The technical indicators and sentiment analysis indicate an overall bullish bias, with the potential for a sustained rally if the key resistance at 0.7158 is surpassed. Traders should closely monitor the upcoming inflation figures to gauge the impact on interest rate expectations and the Australian Dollar’s performance. The AUD/USD currency pair promises to offer exciting trading opportunities in the coming days as the market navigates through these significant developments.