UK Mortgages Increase, But Consumer Spending Declines

UK consumer credit YoY keeps declining, despite the economic rebound

Consumer credit YoY fell by 3.5% in June

The mortgage market was in a good condition in US last year, being in the  60k region, while in the first two months of this year, mortgages increased to 70k. But, they dived during the lock-down months, although they are coming back as the economy restarts. But, the consumer credit is declining fast. This shows that banks and other lenders are not confident giving credit to consumers, which will dent the economic recovery in the coming months if it continues.

Latest data released by the BOE – 29 July 2020

  • June mortgage approvals 40.0k vs 35.0k expected
  • May mortgage approvals 9.3k
  • June net consumer credit -£0.1 billion vs -£2.0 billion expected
  • May mortgage approvals -£4.6 billion; revised to -£4.5 billion

Mortgage approvals rebounded in June, following the low figures posted in April and May. But that sort of belies the underlying conditions that the credit data are suggesting from the report. Consumer credit growth slumped further from -3.0% YoY in May to -3.6% YoY in June and that to me remains the standout data point. Granted that the struggle in consumer credit already began before the virus crisis, this pretty much just exacerbates that.

 

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

Related Articles

Comments

0 0 votes
Article Rating
Subscribe
Notify of
0 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments

HFM

Doo Prime

XM

Best Forex Brokers