The Downtrend Continues in USD/CAD, But A Bottom Has Formed Now

MAs have been pushing USD/CAD lower but a support has formed at 1.3130s

Skerdian Meta•Thursday, August 27, 2020•1 min read

[[USD/CAD]] has been bearish for several months now, with the USD declining, while crude Oil on the other hand, has been increasing, which has sent the CAD higher, thus USD/CAD bearish. Crude Oil got another boost this week, as the hurricanes approach the US, so the CAD has continued higher.

During this time, moving averages have been doing a great job providing resistance during retraces higher in different time-frames and reversing the price lower. On the H4 chart, we have the 50 SMA (yellow) and the 100 SMA (green) taking turns in stopping the retraces.

The 20 SMA (grey) has also helped when the trend picked up pace. So, sellers have been in total control here, as these MAs have been pushing the price lower, making lower highs and lower lows. Although, for more than a week, we haven’t seen any new lows in this pair, yet MAs keep pushing highs lower. If Oil keeps climbing, so will the CAD and the support at 1.3130s will finally break. We might go short on this pair when that happens.

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Skerdian Meta

Lead Analyst

Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.