EUR/USD Comes Back to 1.10 Ahead of US Inflation Report

EUR/USD reversed higher yesterday as risk sentiment improved and climbed above 1.09 ahead of tomorrow's US CPI inflation numbers


EUR/USD has been bullish as the odds for the FED continuing to raise interest rates further fall and this forex pair approached the major level at 1.10 last week. Although buyers seem reluctant to hold their long EUR/USD positions the closer we get to 1.10.

The ADP and JOLTS jobs reports gave this pair another push last week as the USD declined on weaker figures, but on Friday the positive NFP report improved the sentiment for the USD and we saw a bearish reversal in risk assets. The decline continued yesterday and EUR/USD fell to 1.0830s.

Although the liquidity has been thin due to the Easter holiday and today that traders came back, the decline in the USD has resumed and EUR/USD is heading for 1.10 again. Now this forex pair is trading slightly above the 1.0900 level. The optimism of European indexes, which returned from a long weekend, contributed to the decline in demand for the US Dollar. The Euro was also supported by positive Eurozone data, as the April Sentix Investor Confidence improved from -11.1 in March to -8.7, and Retail Sales in March decreased by 0.8% compared to the previous month as expected, but the year-on-year comparison was slightly better than anticipated.

Although European equities markets initially rose, they later lost some momentum and reduced their gains. This led to some recovery of the US Dollar before the US market opened. Wall Street is expected to open in the negative zone, while government bond yields are hovering around the levels seen at Monday’s closing.

Eurozone April Sentix Investor Confidence

  • April Sentix investor confidence -8.7 points vs -9.9 expected
  • March investor confidence was -11.1 points

Euro area investor morale improves in April with the current situation index rising for a sixth month in a row to -4.3 in April, from -9.3 previously. That said, the fact that it remains in negative territory continues to point towards the view that the economy is still largely stagnating more than anything else.

EUR/USD Live Chart

EUR/USD
ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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