Gold Price Rises as US Treasury Bond Yields Depress Greenback Amid Debt Ceiling Concerns
The [[gold]] price (XAU/USD) is nearing $1,996 as it extends its recovery from a five-week-old ascending support line during early Tuesday.
Arslan Butt•Tuesday, April 25, 2023•2 min read
The GOLD price (XAU/USD) is nearing $1,996 as it extends its recovery from a five-week-old ascending support line during early Tuesday trade. As markets await the important US GDP and Federal Reserve (Fed) outcomes, the precious metal benefits from lower US Treasury bond yields and a weaker US Dollar. Concerns about the US debt ceiling, which is slated to expire in June, are also dragging on US bond coupons and the currency. GOLD prices are rising due to concerns that the US’ debt limit may be reached in June. The political intrigue leading up to this event keeps traders alert and causes them to be risk-averse, increasing market for 1-month US Treasury bond yields. In keeping with this, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may undertake a final 0.25% rate hike in the month of May before indicating a policy shift.
As a result, the yield spread between one-month and three-month US Treasury bonds has widened to its widest since 2001. As a result, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading near 101.30, down for the fourth day in a row.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
As GOLD prices break over a one-week-old declining resistance line, they are approaching the 50-bar Simple Moving Average (SMA) at about $2,003, while the Moving Average Convergence and Divergence (MACD) indicator is displaying positive signals. The stable Relative Strength Index (RSI) line at 14 also encourages buyers of XAU/USD.With these variables in mind, the precious metal is primed for further advances, with a potential monthly high of over $2,049 in sight.
GOLD sellers would need confirmation from the five-week-old ascending support line to reclaim control, which was around $1,980 at the time of writing. If the XAU/USD price falls below this level, bears may focus on the 200-bar SMA at $1,966 and the late March low under $1,935.
It is vital to note that if the XAU/USD price falls below $1,935, it may soon fall towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its March-April uptrend, which is near the $1,900 mark.
Arslan Butt
Index & Commodity Analyst
Arslan Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
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