Where Is USD/CHF Headed After the SNB?

The Swiss National Bank raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 1.75% keeping USD/CHF on a downtrend

The SNB delivers the 4th rate cut in a row

USD/CHF has been bearish since November last year, making lower highs, as we can see that the price was rejected around the resistance zone of 0.9122 which is where the 100 SMA (green) stood on the daily chart. As a result, this pair reversed back down this month and headed towards the 0.89 level. This week we saw another retrace higher ahead of Powell’s testimony at the US Congress, which was not as hawkish as markets were fearing, sending the USD lower. The 50 SMA (yellow) acted as resistance on the daily chart, rejecting the price, so sellers were in control again.

USD/CHF Daily Chart – MAs Continue to Keep This Pair Down

USD/CHF failed at the 100 SMA earlier this month    

The recent policy divergence between the Swiss National Bank (SNB) and the US Federal Reserve (FED) has contributed to the bearish price action in USD/CHF . Specifically, the FED has temporarily halted its tightening cycle, maintaining interest rates at a range of 5.00-5.25%, as it seeks further data before deciding on another rate hike. Conversely, the SNB has remained hawkish, with Governor Jordan expressing his determination to bring inflation down to target and not deviating from that goal due to the risk of second and third-round effects. Earlier today that delivered another rate hike worth 25 bps, which takes the bank rate to 1.75%.

Swiss National Bank Rate Decision

 

USD/CHF Live Chart 

USD/CHF
ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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