XRP Price Forecast: XRP Tests $1 Support as ETF Inflows Clash With Bearish Derivatives Reset
XRP price holds near $1 as ETF inflows and Ripple's RLUSD growth offset liquidations, with $1.00 support and $1.30 resistance in focus.
Quick overview
- XRP is currently trading between $1.00 and $1.05 after a significant pullback that led to a major reset in derivatives and liquidations.
- The market is at a critical juncture, with bears watching for a drop below $1.00 while bulls hope for a rebound supported by ETF inflows and increased XRP Ledger activity.
- XRP ETFs have seen substantial inflows, indicating ongoing institutional demand, contrasting with outflows in Bitcoin and Ethereum funds.
- Technical analysis shows XRP is at a fragile support level, with potential bullish signals emerging, but a decisive move above $1.07 is needed for a recovery.
XRP XRP/USD is trading near the $1.00-$1.05 zone after a sharp pullback triggered a major derivatives reset and pushed leveraged traders out of the market.
The latest move has left XRP at a critical technical point. Bears are watching for a break below $1.00, while bulls are looking for signs that oversold conditions, ETF inflows, and rising XRP Ledger activity can spark a rebound.
XRP Liquidations Reset the Market
According to the attached market updates, XRP’s recent drop wiped out nearly $3 million in long positions and pushed open interest down from about $1.18 billion to $1.04 billion.
That drop in open interest signals a clear deleveraging event. In simple terms, crowded bullish positions were flushed out, funding rates turned sharply negative, and sentiment shifted bearish.
However, the reset may also reduce pressure from excessive leverage. If spot holders continue to avoid aggressive selling, XRP could begin forming a more stable base.
XRP ETFs See Inflows as Bitcoin and Ethereum Funds Bleed
One of the strongest bullish signals came from ETF flows.
On June 26, 2026, XRP ETFs reportedly attracted $15.63 million in daily net inflows, while Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs continued to see outflows. Total XRP ETF inflows were reported near $1.47 billion.
That divergence matters because it suggests institutional demand for XRP remains active, even as the broader crypto market stays cautious.
If inflows continue, they could help offset bearish derivatives pressure and support a recovery above the $1 zone.
RLUSD Growth Strengthens XRP Ledger Narrative
Another supportive development is the growing role of Ripple USD (RLUSD) on the XRP Ledger.
The attached article notes that the XRP Ledger now hosts more RLUSD supply than Ethereum for the first time, with roughly $801 million on XRP Ledger versus $795 million on Ethereum.
This shift follows key regulatory developments, including RLUSD’s launch in Japan and Ripple’s preliminary MiCA-related approval in Luxembourg. For XRP holders, the milestone reinforces the idea that institutional stablecoin activity is increasingly moving through Ripple’s native infrastructure.
That does not guarantee immediate upside for XRP, but it strengthens the long-term utility narrative.
XRP Technical Analysis: $1 Support Is the Line in the Sand
From a technical perspective, XRP is at a fragile but important support zone.
The token has been struggling near $1.00, a psychological and technical level that traders are watching closely. The attached market analysis notes that volume has fallen sharply, while liquidations have increased, showing that traders remain cautious.
Still, XRP is also sitting in a historically oversold area. The daily chart reportedly flashed three bullish signals:
- A TD Sequential “9” buy signal
- A Morning Star Doji pattern near the $1.02-$1.07 zone
- A rise in daily active addresses from around 23,000 to nearly 39,500
Together, these signals suggest downside momentum may be tiring. But buyers still need confirmation.
Key Levels to Watch
- Resistance: $1.07, $1.15, $1.20, $1.30
- Support: $1.02, $1.00, $0.95, $0.90
- Bullish reversal level: A daily close above $1.07
- Bullish continuation level: A break above $1.30
- Bearish risk level: A clean break below $1.00
XRP Price Forecast
If XRP holds above $1.00-$1.02, bulls may attempt a rebound toward $1.07 and then $1.15. A stronger move above $1.30 would confirm that buyers have regained control and could open the door to a broader recovery.
However, if XRP loses the $1.00 floor, bearish momentum could accelerate. In that case, sellers may target $0.95 first, followed by $0.90.
For now, XRP remains caught between bearish derivatives pressure and improving institutional and on-chain signals. The next decisive move likely depends on whether buyers can defend $1 and force a close back above $1.07.
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