Japan Officially Falls in Recession - Forex News by FX Leaders
Japanese economy shrinks for the second quarter in a row

Japan Officially Falls in Recession

Posted Monday, May 18, 2020 by
Skerdian Meta • 1 min read

The Japanese economy already fell in contraction in Q4 of 2019, which was a bit strange since the global economy picked up in that quarter due to the prospects of the Phase One deal between the US and China. Now, we are seeing another contraction in Q1 of this year, which was expected with the shut-down and everything. So, this makes the recession in Japan official now and many expect the Q2 to be worse, so things are looking particularly bad for Japan.

  • Q1 GDP of 2020 -0.9% vs -1.1% expected
  • Q4 of 2019 stood at -1.8%
  • Annualized GDP Q1 at -3.4% vs -4.5% expected
  • Annualized GDP Q4 of 2019 -7.1%
  • Q1 GDP nominal -0.8% vs -1.3% expected
  • Q4 of 2019 GDP nominal -1.5%
  • Q1 GDP deflator YoY (an inflation indication) 0.9% vs expected 0.7%
  • Q4 of 2019 GDP deflator YoY 1.3%%, revised to 1.2%
  • Q1 private consumption -0.7% vs -1.6% expected
  • Q4 of 2019 private consumption -2.8%
  • Business spending -0.5% (capex) vs -1.5% expected
  • Q4 of 2019 prior business spending -4.6%
More:
  • 2 consecutive quarters of contraction for the Japanese economy, the economy moves into recession for the first time since H2 of 2015
  • Q1 exports had their biggest quarterly decline since the 2nd quarter of 2011, down by 6%
January and February were stable to slowly picking up for Japan but the outbreak in  March hit economic growth. The April to June quarter is likely to be even worse, with a more prolonged impact. Restrictions were imposed by the April 7 national emergency declaration shutting many restaurants, large retail outlets, hotels and more. The restrictions were partially lifted on May 14, but are still in place for Tokyo and Osaka, the two largest cities in Japan.
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About the author

Skerdian Meta // Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.
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