The 100 SMA Holds the Decline in Oil, But the 50 SMA Might Turn Into Resistance

Crude Oil stopped declining and is bouncing off the 100 SMA now


Crude Oil has been running higher despite the new coronavirus restrictions in Europe and north America. It stalled in September and October after US WTI crude Oil gained around $ 80 from April, but in November the uptrend resumed again and it actually picked up further pace.

Moving averages have been doing a great job in providing support on the H4 chart during the climb since early November, particularly the 50 SMA (yellow). The price climbed to $49.20 by Friday evening, but it opened with a bearish gap lower on Sunday evening when the Asian session started and continued lower until last night.

The retrace in Oil seems to be over

The decline came after comments from Russia which wants another increase in production quotas by 500 million, after the 500 million bpd OPEC already agreed to increase. As a result, Gold lost around 300 pips, but the 100 SMA (green) held as support twice.

It was pierced  for a while, but the price moved back above it and now it has bounced 100 pips higher. But the 50 SMA might turn from support into resistance now. Although buyers seem determined to push above it. We will see if they will push above the 50 SMA before the Christmas break which starts tomorrow in the evening.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR See More
Skerdian Meta
Lead Analyst
Skerdian Meta Lead Analyst. Skerdian is a professional Forex trader and a market analyst. He has been actively engaged in market analysis for the past 11 years. Before becoming our head analyst, Skerdian served as a trader and market analyst in Saxo Bank's local branch, Aksioner. Skerdian specialized in experimenting with developing models and hands-on trading. Skerdian has a masters degree in finance and investment.

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