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EUR/USD Slips to 1.1760 Support – Brace for Bullish Correction!

Posted Friday, March 26, 2021 by
Arslan Butt • 2 min read

The EUR/USD pair was closed at 1.1764 after placing a high of 1.1829 and a low of 1.1761. EUR/USD pair extended its losses and dropped for the third consecutive session on Thursday amid the strength of the US dollar and the rising tensions in the European Union related to the third wave of coronavirus.

The growing concerns over the European Union’s third wave of coronavirus sent the single currency Euro on the downside against its rival greenback. The lockdown restrictions that should have been lifted by now were extended amid the third-wave concerns, and this has seriously raised concerns about the bloc’s economic recovery. The weak Euro failed to support the EUR/USD pair that continued falling and reached below 1.1770 level.

The single currency’s weakness was added after the concerns even raised due to the sluggish vaccination campaigns in the bloc. This led to the rising tensions between the EU and UK as the EU has planned to block the vaccine export shipments to the UK; this would add more pressure on the single currency and could take EUR/USD pair further on the downside.

On the other hand, the US dollar was strong in the market due to its safe-haven status. The latest growing tensions between the US and China, and other western countries have escalated the demand for safe-haven that supported the greenback and weighed heavily on the EUR/USD pair. On the data front, at 12:00 GMT, the German GfK Consumer Climate in March dropped to -6.2 against the expected -12.1 and supported the single currency Euro but failed to reverse EUR/USD downside pressure. The M3 Money Supply for the year dropped to 12.3% against the expected 12.5% and weighed on Euro that added further losses in EUR/USD pair. At 14:02 GMT, the Private Loans for the year also dropped to 3.0% against the expected 3.2% and weighed on Euro and added further downward momentum in EUR/USD pair. At 18:55 GMT, the Belgian NBB Business Climate came in as -1.0 compared to the projected -3.0 and supported the single currency Euro and capped further losses in the currency pair.From the US side, at 17:30 GMT, the Final GDP for the quarter surged to 4.3% against the forecasted 4.1% and supported the US dollar that added further losses in EUR/USD . The Final GDP Price Index for the quarter came in line with the projections of 2.0%. Last week, the Unemployment Claims declined to 684K against the forecasted 727K and supported the US dollar and added in the decline of EUR/USD pair.

On Thursday, the Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi urged the European Union leaders to use the bloc’s new powers to ensure vaccine supply. The EU leaders assessed the new controversial proposal that will allow the EU to block the vaccine exports from the companies that have not yet met their EU commitments. These developments could only add downside pressure on Euro as it could harm the bloc relationship with other countries like the UK.

Daily Technical Levels
Support Resistance
1.1796 1.1841
1.1780 1.1870
1.1751 1.1886
Pivot Point: 1.1825The EUR/USD pair traded sharply bearish to drop until 1.1760 level, but soon it bounced off to trade at 1.1784 level. On the higher side, the EUR/USD level may now face resistance at 1.1803 and 1.1826 level. At the same time, the support continues to hold around 1.1760 level. Considering the EMA, RSI, and MACD, the EUR/USD pair may continue to exhibit selling bias until the 1.1760 level, but before this, bullish correction can be seen until the 1.1805 level. Good luck!

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